Match

VfL Osnabrück vs Holstein Kiel: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Bremer Brücke, Osnabrück

VfL OsnabrückHolstein Kiel

The Footlab model makes VfL Osnabrück the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Holstein Kiel. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfL Osnabrück vs Holstein Kiel?

A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate VfL Osnabrück (2,008) and Holstein Kiel (1,982).

VfL Osnabrück win47 %
Draw25 %
Holstein Kiel win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Osnabrück have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Holstein Kiel have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfL Osnabrück
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026Spelle-Venhaus(away)5-3Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 20261. FC Magdeburg(home)0-32. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 20261. FC Heidenheim(away)3-42. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026SC Paderborn 07(home)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026Nordhorn(away)7-0Friendlies Clubs
Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026TSV 1860 München(away)2-0DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026FC St. Pauli(home)2-22. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(away)2-22. Bundesliga
Jul 29, 20261899 Hoffenheim(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026FSV Mainz 05(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 VfL Osnabrück win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Holstein Kiel win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 26, 2025VfL Osnabrück 0-1 Holstein KielFriendlies Clubs
Apr 13, 2024Holstein Kiel 4-0 VfL Osnabrück2. Bundesliga
Nov 4, 2023VfL Osnabrück 1-1 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
Jan 7, 2023Holstein Kiel 5-3 VfL OsnabrückFriendlies Clubs
Jan 8, 2022Holstein Kiel 3-2 VfL OsnabrückFriendlies Clubs
Apr 24, 2021VfL Osnabrück 1-3 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: VfL Osnabrück vs Holstein Kiel on Jul 26, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

VfL Osnabrück score 2.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Holstein Kiel score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
VfL Osnabrück2.21.647/159/15
Holstein Kiel1.71.5410/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfL Osnabrück sit 18th in 2. Bundesliga (0 points from 2 matches) and Holstein Kiel sit 12th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Holstein Kiel2020442
18VfL Osnabrück2002370

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfL Osnabrück vs Holstein Kiel?
The Footlab model makes VfL Osnabrück the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Holstein Kiel.
Where and when is VfL Osnabrück vs Holstein Kiel played?
VfL Osnabrück vs Holstein Kiel is played on February 27, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Bremer Brücke, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: VfL Osnabrück and Holstein Kiel

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