VfL Osnabrück vs Holstein Kiel: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Bremer Brücke, Osnabrück
The Footlab model makes VfL Osnabrück the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Holstein Kiel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfL Osnabrück vs Holstein Kiel?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate VfL Osnabrück (2,008) and Holstein Kiel (1,982).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Osnabrück have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Holstein Kiel have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Spelle-Venhaus(away) | 5-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1. FC Magdeburg(home) | 0-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(away) | 3-4 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Nordhorn(away) | 7-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | TSV 1860 München(away) | 2-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC St. Pauli(home) | 2-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(away) | 2-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 29, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 VfL Osnabrück win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Holstein Kiel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2025 | VfL Osnabrück 0-1 Holstein Kiel | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Holstein Kiel 4-0 VfL Osnabrück | 2. Bundesliga |
| Nov 4, 2023 | VfL Osnabrück 1-1 Holstein Kiel | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jan 7, 2023 | Holstein Kiel 5-3 VfL Osnabrück | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 8, 2022 | Holstein Kiel 3-2 VfL Osnabrück | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 24, 2021 | VfL Osnabrück 1-3 Holstein Kiel | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: VfL Osnabrück vs Holstein Kiel on Jul 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
VfL Osnabrück score 2.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Holstein Kiel score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabrück | 2.2 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Holstein Kiel | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfL Osnabrück sit 18th in 2. Bundesliga (0 points from 2 matches) and Holstein Kiel sit 12th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 18 | VfL Osnabrück | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfL Osnabrück vs Holstein Kiel?
- The Footlab model makes VfL Osnabrück the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Holstein Kiel.
- Where and when is VfL Osnabrück vs Holstein Kiel played?
- VfL Osnabrück vs Holstein Kiel is played on February 27, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Bremer Brücke, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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