Match

Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Heidenheim: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)SchücoArena, Bielefeld

Arminia Bielefeld1. FC Heidenheim

The Footlab model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for 1. FC Heidenheim. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Heidenheim?

A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Arminia Bielefeld (2,010) and 1. FC Heidenheim (1,984).

Arminia Bielefeld win48 %
Draw25 %
1. FC Heidenheim win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arminia Bielefeld have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; 1. FC Heidenheim have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arminia Bielefeld
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Energie Cottbus(home)3-02. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026Karlsruher SC(away)1-22. Bundesliga
Jul 25, 2026MSV Duisburg(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Bologna(away)4-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 8, 2026FC Gutersloh(away)3-0Friendlies Clubs
1. FC Heidenheim
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026Bayern München(home)2-4Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Hertha BSC(away)1-42. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026VfL Osnabrück(home)4-32. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04(home)4-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 22, 2026Bologna(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Arminia Bielefeld win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 1. FC Heidenheim win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 26, 2023Arminia Bielefeld 0-1 1. FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga
Aug 21, 20221. FC Heidenheim 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
Jun 28, 2020Arminia Bielefeld 3-0 1. FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga
Dec 14, 20191. FC Heidenheim 0-0 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
Dec 22, 2018Arminia Bielefeld 1-2 1. FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga
Aug 5, 20181. FC Heidenheim 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Heidenheim on Feb 26, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Arminia Bielefeld score 2.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Heidenheim score 2.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arminia Bielefeld2.51.5311/1511/15
1. FC Heidenheim2.51.7211/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arminia Bielefeld sit 6th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and 1. FC Heidenheim sit 9th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Arminia Bielefeld2101423
91. FC Heidenheim2101573

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Heidenheim?
The Footlab model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for 1. FC Heidenheim.
Where and when is Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Heidenheim played?
Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Heidenheim is played on September 19, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at SchücoArena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Arminia Bielefeld and 1. FC Heidenheim

Ready to know everything about football?