Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Heidenheim: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)SchücoArena, Bielefeld
The Footlab model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for 1. FC Heidenheim. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Heidenheim?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Arminia Bielefeld (2,010) and 1. FC Heidenheim (1,984).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arminia Bielefeld have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; 1. FC Heidenheim have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(home) | 3-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(away) | 1-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | MSV Duisburg(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Bologna(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2026 | FC Gutersloh(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bayern München(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hertha BSC(away) | 1-4 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | VfL Osnabrück(home) | 4-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Ingolstadt 04(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Bologna(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Arminia Bielefeld win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 1. FC Heidenheim win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2023 | Arminia Bielefeld 0-1 1. FC Heidenheim | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 21, 2022 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jun 28, 2020 | Arminia Bielefeld 3-0 1. FC Heidenheim | 2. Bundesliga |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1. FC Heidenheim 0-0 Arminia Bielefeld | 2. Bundesliga |
| Dec 22, 2018 | Arminia Bielefeld 1-2 1. FC Heidenheim | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 5, 2018 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Heidenheim on Feb 26, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Arminia Bielefeld score 2.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Heidenheim score 2.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arminia Bielefeld | 2.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| 1. FC Heidenheim | 2.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arminia Bielefeld sit 6th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and 1. FC Heidenheim sit 9th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Heidenheim?
- The Footlab model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for 1. FC Heidenheim.
- Where and when is Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Heidenheim played?
- Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Heidenheim is played on September 19, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at SchücoArena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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