Match

1. FC Heidenheim vs Dynamo Dresden: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Voith-Arena, Heidenheim an der Brenz

1. FC HeidenheimDynamo Dresden

The Footlab model makes 1. FC Heidenheim the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Dynamo Dresden. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1. FC Heidenheim vs Dynamo Dresden?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate 1. FC Heidenheim (1,981) and Dynamo Dresden (1,998).

1. FC Heidenheim win41 %
Draw26 %
Dynamo Dresden win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Heidenheim have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Dynamo Dresden have 10, 0 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1. FC Heidenheim
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026SSV Jeddeloh(away)2-5DFB Pokal
Aug 18, 2026Bayern München(home)2-4Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Hertha BSC(away)1-42. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026VfL Osnabrück(home)4-32. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04(home)4-1Friendlies Clubs
Dynamo Dresden
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Westfalia Rhynern(away)6-0DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(home)1-02. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 20261. FC Nürnberg(away)0-32. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026Union Berlin(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Energie Cottbus(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 1. FC Heidenheim win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Dynamo Dresden win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 29, 2022Dynamo Dresden 0-1 1. FC HeidenheimFriendlies Clubs
Feb 18, 2022Dynamo Dresden 1-1 1. FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga
Sep 12, 20211. FC Heidenheim 2-1 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
Feb 2, 20201. FC Heidenheim 0-0 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
Aug 18, 2019Dynamo Dresden 2-1 1. FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga
Feb 2, 20191. FC Heidenheim 1-0 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Heidenheim on Jun 29, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

1. FC Heidenheim score 2.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dynamo Dresden score 2.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
1. FC Heidenheim2.51.9211/1511/15
Dynamo Dresden2.80.985/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1. FC Heidenheim sit 9th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and Dynamo Dresden sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
91. FC Heidenheim2101573
11Dynamo Dresden2101133

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Heidenheim vs Dynamo Dresden?
The Footlab model makes 1. FC Heidenheim the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Dynamo Dresden.
Where and when is 1. FC Heidenheim vs Dynamo Dresden played?
1. FC Heidenheim vs Dynamo Dresden is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Voith-Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: 1. FC Heidenheim and Dynamo Dresden

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