1. FC Heidenheim vs Dynamo Dresden: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Voith-Arena, Heidenheim an der Brenz
The Footlab model makes 1. FC Heidenheim the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Dynamo Dresden. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1. FC Heidenheim vs Dynamo Dresden?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate 1. FC Heidenheim (1,981) and Dynamo Dresden (1,998).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Heidenheim have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Dynamo Dresden have 10, 0 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(away) | 2-5 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bayern München(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hertha BSC(away) | 1-4 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | VfL Osnabrück(home) | 4-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Ingolstadt 04(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Westfalia Rhynern(away) | 6-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(home) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(away) | 0-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Union Berlin(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 1. FC Heidenheim win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Dynamo Dresden win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 29, 2022 | Dynamo Dresden 0-1 1. FC Heidenheim | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 18, 2022 | Dynamo Dresden 1-1 1. FC Heidenheim | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 12, 2021 | 1. FC Heidenheim 2-1 Dynamo Dresden | 2. Bundesliga |
| Feb 2, 2020 | 1. FC Heidenheim 0-0 Dynamo Dresden | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 18, 2019 | Dynamo Dresden 2-1 1. FC Heidenheim | 2. Bundesliga |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1-0 Dynamo Dresden | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Heidenheim on Jun 29, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
1. FC Heidenheim score 2.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dynamo Dresden score 2.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Heidenheim | 2.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Dynamo Dresden | 2.8 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
1. FC Heidenheim sit 9th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and Dynamo Dresden sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| 11 | Dynamo Dresden | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1. FC Heidenheim vs Dynamo Dresden?
- The Footlab model makes 1. FC Heidenheim the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Dynamo Dresden.
- Where and when is 1. FC Heidenheim vs Dynamo Dresden played?
- 1. FC Heidenheim vs Dynamo Dresden is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Voith-Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Aug 28, 2026Eintracht BraunschweigvsHertha BSC
- Aug 29, 2026Energie CottbusvsSpVgg Greuther Fürth
- Aug 29, 2026Karlsruher SCvsVfL Wolfsburg
- Aug 29, 20261. FC NürnbergvsArminia Bielefeld
- Aug 30, 20261. FC MagdeburgvsHolstein Kiel
- Aug 30, 2026SV Darmstadt 98vsHannover 96
- Aug 30, 2026FC St. Paulivs1. FC Kaiserslautern