Where and when is 1. FC Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel played?

1. FC Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at MDCC-Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

1. FC Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)MDCC-Arena, Magdeburg

1. FC Magdeburg

Holstein Kiel

The Footlab model makes 1. FC Magdeburg the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Holstein Kiel. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1. FC Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate 1. FC Magdeburg (1,959) and Holstein Kiel (1,954).

1. FC Magdeburg win49 %

Draw24 %

Holstein Kiel win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Magdeburg have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Holstein Kiel have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1. FC Magdeburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	VfL Osnabrück(away)	3-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	Eintracht Braunschweig(home)	1-6	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	West Ham(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Schöningen(away)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 12, 2026	BSG Chemie Leipzig(away)	4-1	Friendlies Clubs

Holstein Kiel
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	FC St. Pauli(home)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	SV Darmstadt 98(away)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Jul 29, 2026	1899 Hoffenheim(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	FSV Mainz 05(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Swansea(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 1. FC Magdeburg win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Holstein Kiel win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	Holstein Kiel 1-3 1. FC Magdeburg	2. Bundesliga
Dec 13, 2025	1. FC Magdeburg 3-3 Holstein Kiel	2. Bundesliga
Feb 2, 2024	1. FC Magdeburg 1-1 Holstein Kiel	2. Bundesliga
Nov 1, 2023	Holstein Kiel 3-3 1. FC Magdeburg	DFB Pokal
Aug 20, 2023	Holstein Kiel 2-4 1. FC Magdeburg	2. Bundesliga
Feb 11, 2023	Holstein Kiel 2-3 1. FC Magdeburg	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Magdeburg on May 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

1. FC Magdeburg score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Holstein Kiel score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
1. FC Magdeburg	2.0	1.3	4	8/15	8/15
Holstein Kiel	1.6	1.5	4	10/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1. FC Magdeburg sit 10th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and Holstein Kiel sit 12th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	1. FC Magdeburg	2	1	0	1	4	6	3
12	Holstein Kiel	2	0	2	0	4	4	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel?: The Footlab model makes 1. FC Magdeburg the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Holstein Kiel.
Where and when is 1. FC Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel played?: 1. FC Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at MDCC-Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.