Where and when is 1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld played?

1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Max-Morlock-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Max-Morlock-Stadion, Nürnberg

1. FC Nürnberg

Arminia Bielefeld

The Footlab model makes 1. FC Nürnberg the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Arminia Bielefeld. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld?

A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate 1. FC Nürnberg (2,010) and Arminia Bielefeld (2,001).

1. FC Nürnberg win48 %

Draw24 %

Arminia Bielefeld win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Nürnberg have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats; Arminia Bielefeld have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1. FC Nürnberg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away)	4-2	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	Dynamo Dresden(home)	3-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	Oviedo(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Palermo(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Waldhof Mannheim(home)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs

Arminia Bielefeld
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Energie Cottbus(home)	3-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	Karlsruher SC(away)	1-2	2. Bundesliga
Jul 25, 2026	MSV Duisburg(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Bologna(away)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 8, 2026	FC Gutersloh(away)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 1. FC Nürnberg win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Arminia Bielefeld win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 1. FC Nürnberg	2. Bundesliga
Nov 23, 2025	1. FC Nürnberg 2-0 Arminia Bielefeld	2. Bundesliga
Jul 19, 2025	Arminia Bielefeld 2-1 1. FC Nürnberg	Friendlies Clubs
Mar 17, 2023	Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 1. FC Nürnberg	2. Bundesliga
Sep 9, 2022	1. FC Nürnberg 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld	2. Bundesliga
Jun 6, 2020	Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 1. FC Nürnberg	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Nürnberg on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

1. FC Nürnberg score 2.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Arminia Bielefeld score 2.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
1. FC Nürnberg	2.7	1.2	4	10/15	10/15
Arminia Bielefeld	2.5	1.5	3	11/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1. FC Nürnberg sit 1st in 2. Bundesliga (6 points from 2 matches) and Arminia Bielefeld sit 6th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	1. FC Nürnberg	2	2	0	0	7	2	6
6	Arminia Bielefeld	2	1	0	1	4	2	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld?: The Footlab model makes 1. FC Nürnberg the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Arminia Bielefeld.
Where and when is 1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld played?: 1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Max-Morlock-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.