VfL Bochum vs VfL Osnabrück: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Vonovia Ruhrstadion, Bochum
The Footlab model makes VfL Bochum the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for VfL Osnabrück. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfL Bochum vs VfL Osnabrück?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate VfL Bochum (1,969) and VfL Osnabrück (2,002).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Bochum have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; VfL Osnabrück have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away) | 2-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Eintracht Braunschweig(away) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hertha BSC(home) | 0-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Werder Bremen(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Spelle-Venhaus(away) | 5-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1. FC Magdeburg(home) | 0-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(away) | 3-4 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Nordhorn(away) | 7-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 VfL Bochum win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 VfL Osnabrück win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | VfL Bochum 1-4 VfL Osnabrück | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 6, 2021 | VfL Osnabrück 1-2 VfL Bochum | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 2, 2020 | VfL Bochum 0-0 VfL Osnabrück | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jun 13, 2020 | VfL Osnabrück 0-2 VfL Bochum | 2. Bundesliga |
| Nov 22, 2019 | VfL Bochum 1-1 VfL Osnabrück | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: VfL Bochum vs VfL Osnabrück on Nov 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
VfL Bochum score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; VfL Osnabrück score 2.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Bochum | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| VfL Osnabrück | 2.2 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfL Bochum sit 7th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and VfL Osnabrück sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | VfL Bochum | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 18 | VfL Osnabrück | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfL Bochum vs VfL Osnabrück?
- The Footlab model makes VfL Bochum the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for VfL Osnabrück.
- Where and when is VfL Bochum vs VfL Osnabrück played?
- VfL Bochum vs VfL Osnabrück is played on August 28, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Vonovia Ruhrstadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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