Where and when is RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach played?

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach is played on August 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Red Bull Arena, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

RB Leipzig

Borussia Mönchengladbach

The Footlab model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Borussia Mönchengladbach. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

RB Leipzig starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (2,192 vs 2,088).

RB Leipzig win47 %

Draw23 %

Borussia Mönchengladbach win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RB Leipzig have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Borussia Mönchengladbach have 8, 5 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

RB Leipzig
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Bayern München(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Leeds(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Verl(home)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	FC Ingolstadt 04(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Altglienicke(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

Borussia Mönchengladbach
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Aston Villa(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 12, 2026	SSVg Velbert(away)	8-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Hansa Rostock(away)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Wuppertaler SV(away)	6-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 RB Leipzig win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Borussia Mönchengladbach win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 11, 2026	RB Leipzig 1-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach	Bundesliga
Nov 28, 2025	Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-0 RB Leipzig	Bundesliga
Mar 29, 2025	Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-0 RB Leipzig	Bundesliga
Nov 9, 2024	RB Leipzig 0-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach	Bundesliga
Feb 17, 2024	RB Leipzig 2-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach	Bundesliga
Sep 23, 2023	Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-1 RB Leipzig	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

RB Leipzig score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Mönchengladbach score 2.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
RB Leipzig	1.8	1.5	4	9/15	11/15
Borussia Mönchengladbach	2.7	1.1	5	9/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

RB Leipzig sit 3rd in Bundesliga (65 points from 34 matches) and Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 12th (38 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	RB Leipzig	34	20	5	9	66	47	65
12	Borussia Mönchengladbach	34	9	11	14	42	53	38

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?: The Footlab model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Borussia Mönchengladbach.
Where and when is RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach played?: RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach is played on August 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Red Bull Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.