Where and when is Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln played?

Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Allianz Arena, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Allianz Arena, München

Bayern München

1. FC Köln

The Footlab model makes Bayern München the favourite at 75%, against 14% for a draw and 11% for 1. FC Köln. The most likely score is 3-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln?

Bayern München is a heavy favourite: 2,524 Elo points against 2,048, a 476-point gap.

Bayern München win75 %

Draw14 %

1. FC Köln win11 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bayern München have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; 1. FC Köln have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bayern München
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Borussia Dortmund(away)	2-1	Super Cup
Aug 18, 2026	1. FC Heidenheim(away)	4-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	RB Leipzig(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 7, 2026	Aston Villa(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 4, 2026	Jeju United FC(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

1. FC Köln
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Würzburger Kickers(away)	2-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 8, 2026	Real Sociedad(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 31, 2026	Hertha BSC(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 23, 2026	Bergisch Gladbach(away)	8-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026	Bayern München(away)	1-5	Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Bayern München win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 1. FC Köln win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 16, 2026	Bayern München 5-1 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga
Jan 14, 2026	1. FC Köln 1-3 Bayern München	Bundesliga
Oct 29, 2025	1. FC Köln 1-4 Bayern München	DFB Pokal
Apr 13, 2024	Bayern München 2-0 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga
Nov 24, 2023	1. FC Köln 0-1 Bayern München	Bundesliga
May 27, 2023	1. FC Köln 1-2 Bayern München	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln on May 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bayern München score 2.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Köln score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Bayern München	2.7	1.5	3	12/15	12/15
1. FC Köln	2.0	1.9	1	13/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bayern München sit 1st in Bundesliga (89 points from 34 matches) and 1. FC Köln sit 14th (32 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bayern München	34	28	5	1	122	36	89
14	1. FC Köln	34	7	11	16	49	63	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln?: The Footlab model makes Bayern München the favourite at 75%, against 14% for a draw and 11% for 1. FC Köln.
Where and when is Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln played?: Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Allianz Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.