Match

Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin

Union BerlinEintracht Frankfurt

The Footlab model makes Eintracht Frankfurt the favourite at 41%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for Union Berlin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Eintracht Frankfurt starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (2,112 vs 2,012).

Union Berlin win37 %
Draw22 %
Eintracht Frankfurt win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Berlin have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Eintracht Frankfurt have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Union Berlin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(away)4-2DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Ipswich(home)2-4Friendlies Clubs
Aug 9, 2026Aris(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 2, 2026Cagliari(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Dynamo Dresden(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Eintracht Frankfurt
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026SC St. Tönis(away)11-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Brentford(away)0-7Friendlies Clubs
Aug 12, 2026FSV Frankfurt(away)5-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Hull City(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Waldhof Mannheim(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Union Berlin win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Eintracht Frankfurt win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 6, 2026Union Berlin 1-1 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
Sep 21, 2025Eintracht Frankfurt 3-4 Union BerlinBundesliga
Mar 9, 2025Eintracht Frankfurt 1-2 Union BerlinBundesliga
Oct 27, 2024Union Berlin 1-1 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
Mar 30, 2024Eintracht Frankfurt 0-0 Union BerlinBundesliga
Nov 4, 2023Union Berlin 0-3 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt on Feb 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Union Berlin score 2.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Eintracht Frankfurt score 3.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Union Berlin2.51.9113/1512/15
Eintracht Frankfurt3.11.7410/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Union Berlin sit 11th in Bundesliga (39 points from 34 matches) and Eintracht Frankfurt sit 8th (44 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Eintracht Frankfurt34111112616544
11Union Berlin3410915445839

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
The Footlab model makes Eintracht Frankfurt the favourite at 41%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for Union Berlin.
Where and when is Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt played?
Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt is played on August 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion An der Alten Försterei, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Union Berlin and Eintracht Frankfurt

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