Where and when is SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen played?

SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen is played on August 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Europa-Park Stadion, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau

SC Freiburg

Werder Bremen

The Footlab model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Werder Bremen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen?

SC Freiburg starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (2,166 vs 2,022).

SC Freiburg win55 %

Draw23 %

Werder Bremen win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Freiburg have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Werder Bremen have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SC Freiburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Crystal Palace(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Strasbourg(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Derby(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 20, 2026	Aston Villa(home)	0-3	UEFA Europa League
May 16, 2026	RB Leipzig(home)	4-1	Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Auxerre(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	SC Paderborn 07(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Energie Cottbus(away)	4-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	VfL Bochum(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 22, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 SC Freiburg win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Werder Bremen win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 7, 2026	SC Freiburg 1-0 Werder Bremen	Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2025	Werder Bremen 0-3 SC Freiburg	Bundesliga
Feb 21, 2025	SC Freiburg 5-0 Werder Bremen	Bundesliga
Oct 5, 2024	Werder Bremen 0-1 SC Freiburg	Bundesliga
Jan 27, 2024	Werder Bremen 3-1 SC Freiburg	Bundesliga
Aug 26, 2023	SC Freiburg 1-0 Werder Bremen	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen on Feb 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SC Freiburg score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Werder Bremen score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SC Freiburg	1.9	1.3	4	9/15	12/15
Werder Bremen	1.6	1.5	3	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SC Freiburg sit 7th in Bundesliga (47 points from 34 matches) and Werder Bremen sit 15th (32 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	SC Freiburg	34	13	8	13	51	57	47
15	Werder Bremen	34	8	8	18	37	60	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen?: The Footlab model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Werder Bremen.
Where and when is SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen played?: SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen is played on August 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Europa-Park Stadion, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.