Match

1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)RheinEnergieSTADION, Köln

1. FC KölnBayer Leverkusen

The Footlab AI model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for 1. FC Köln. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bayer Leverkusen wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Bayer Leverkusen starts as the favourite with a 240-point Elo edge (2,284 vs 2,044).

24%23%53%
1. FC Köln winDrawBayer Leverkusen win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

1. FC Köln

4-2-3-1
  1. 27T. Dallinga
  1. 5T. Krauß
  2. 6E. Skhiri
  3. 37L. Maina
  4. 47M. Moore
  5. 29J. Thielmann
  1. 24L. Lochoshvili
  2. 22Jahmai Simpson-Pusey
  3. 14G. Mensah
  4. 17A. Castro-Montes
  1. 1M. Schwäbe

Bayer Leverkusen

4-2-3-1
  1. 14P. Schick
  1. 24Aleix García
  2. 6E. Fernández
  3. 30I. Maza
  4. 9Afonso Moreira
  5. 19M. Diaby
  1. 12E. Tapsoba
  2. 3Miguel Gutiérrez
  3. 2F. Medina
  4. 4J. Quansah
  1. 1M. Flekken

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 04:21 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Köln have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Bayer Leverkusen have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1. FC Köln
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026FC Viktoria Köln(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Hamburger SV(away)1-2Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026Werder Bremen(home)1-1Bundesliga
Sep 4, 2026VfB Stuttgart(away)1-4Bundesliga
Aug 29, 20261899 Hoffenheim(home)3-2Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 20, 2026RB Leipzig(home)2-0Bundesliga
Sep 16, 2026Celje(home)2-0UEFA Europa League
Sep 12, 2026FC Augsburg(away)2-2Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026Union Berlin(home)4-0Bundesliga
Aug 29, 2026SV Elversberg(away)2-3Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 1. FC Köln win, 0 draws, 5 Bayer Leverkusen wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 20261. FC Köln 1-2 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
Dec 13, 2025Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 1. FC KölnBundesliga
Feb 5, 2025Bayer Leverkusen 3-2 1. FC KölnDFB Pokal
Mar 3, 20241. FC Köln 0-2 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
Oct 8, 2023Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 1. FC KölnBundesliga
May 5, 2023Bayer Leverkusen 1-2 1. FC KölnBundesliga

Last archived meeting: 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

1. FC Köln score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bayer Leverkusen score 2.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
1. FC Köln2.11.9114/1513/15
Bayer Leverkusen2.70.978/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1. FC Köln sit 13th in Bundesliga (4 points from 4 matches) and Bayer Leverkusen sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Bayer Leverkusen42111057
131. FC Köln4112694

A question about 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen?
The Footlab AI model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for 1. FC Köln.
Where and when is 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen played?
1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen is played on November 7, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at RheinEnergieSTADION, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: 1. FC Köln and Bayer Leverkusen

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