Where and when is 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen played?

1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen is played on November 7, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at RheinEnergieSTADION, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)RheinEnergieSTADION, Köln

1. FC Köln

Bayer Leverkusen

The Footlab model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for 1. FC Köln. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Bayer Leverkusen starts as the favourite with a 247-point Elo edge (2,277 vs 2,030).

1. FC Köln win29 %

Draw23 %

Bayer Leverkusen win49 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Köln have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Bayer Leverkusen have 10, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1. FC Köln
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Real Sociedad(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 31, 2026	Hertha BSC(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 23, 2026	Bergisch Gladbach(away)	8-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026	Bayern München(away)	1-5	Bundesliga
May 10, 2026	1. FC Heidenheim(home)	1-3	Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SV Wehen(away)	4-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Newcastle(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 12, 2026	Nottingham Forest(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Sevilla(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 1. FC Köln win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Bayer Leverkusen win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	1. FC Köln 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen	Bundesliga
Dec 13, 2025	Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga
Feb 5, 2025	Bayer Leverkusen 3-2 1. FC Köln	DFB Pokal
Mar 3, 2024	1. FC Köln 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen	Bundesliga
Oct 8, 2023	Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga
May 5, 2023	Bayer Leverkusen 1-2 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

1. FC Köln score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bayer Leverkusen score 2.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
1. FC Köln	2.0	1.9	1	13/15	12/15
Bayer Leverkusen	2.4	1.0	5	9/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1. FC Köln sit 14th in Bundesliga (32 points from 34 matches) and Bayer Leverkusen sit 6th (59 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Bayer Leverkusen	34	17	8	9	68	47	59
14	1. FC Köln	34	7	11	16	49	63	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen?: The Footlab model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for 1. FC Köln.
Where and when is 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen played?: 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen is played on November 7, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at RheinEnergieSTADION, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.