Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
The Footlab AI model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Hamburger SV. The most likely score is 1-1. If Borussia Mönchengladbach wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Hamburger SV (2,056) and Borussia Mönchengladbach (2,067).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hamburger SV
3-4-2-1- 15Y. Poulsen
- 21N. Remberg
- 6A. Sambi Lokonga
- 11A. Grønbæk
- 3D. Møller Wolfe
- 7Z. El Ouahdi
- 20Fábio Vieira
- 23J. Torunarigha
- 24N. Capaldo
- 43S. Nandja
- 1Daniel Heuer Fernandes
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3-4-2-1- 11T. Kleindienst
- 16P. Sander
- 29J. Scally
- 38H. Bolin
- 9F. Honorat
- 26L. Ullrich
- 25R. Hack
- 4K. Diks
- 6K. Itakura
- 5J. Leszczyński
- 1M. Nicolas
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 04:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hamburger SV have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Borussia Mönchengladbach have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | FC Copenhagen(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | 1. FC Köln(home) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | RB Leipzig(away) | 0-5 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05(home) | 0-5 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(away) | 0-2 | Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC St. Pauli(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05(home) | 3-4 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | SC Freiburg(away) | 0-5 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | SV Elversberg(home) | 3-4 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | RB Leipzig(away) | 0-3 | Bundesliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hamburger SV wins, 2 draws, 2 Borussia Mönchengladbach wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Hamburger SV 0-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-0 Hamburger SV | Bundesliga |
| May 12, 2018 | Hamburger SV 2-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Dec 15, 2017 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-1 Hamburger SV | Bundesliga |
| Mar 12, 2017 | Hamburger SV 2-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Mar 1, 2017 | Hamburger SV 1-2 Borussia Mönchengladbach | DFB Pokal |
Last archived meeting: Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hamburger SV score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Mönchengladbach score 3.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 3.0 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hamburger SV sit 16th in Bundesliga (3 points from 4 matches) and Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 18th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 3 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 0 |
A question about Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
- The Footlab AI model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Hamburger SV.
- Where and when is Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach played?
- Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach is played on November 7, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Volksparkstadion, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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