Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Hamburger SV. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Hamburger SV (2,057) and Borussia Mönchengladbach (2,110).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hamburger SV have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Borussia Mönchengladbach have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Toulouse(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lille(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Everton(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Rapid Vienna(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Schott Mainz(away) | 5-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | SSVg Velbert(away) | 8-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hamburger SV win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Borussia Mönchengladbach win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Hamburger SV 0-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-0 Hamburger SV | Bundesliga |
| May 12, 2018 | Hamburger SV 2-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Dec 15, 2017 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-1 Hamburger SV | Bundesliga |
| Mar 12, 2017 | Hamburger SV 2-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Mar 1, 2017 | Hamburger SV 1-2 Borussia Mönchengladbach | DFB Pokal |
Last archived meeting: Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hamburger SV score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Mönchengladbach score 2.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV | 1.4 | 1.9 | 0 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hamburger SV sit 13th in Bundesliga (38 points from 34 matches) and Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 12th (38 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 54 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
- The Footlab model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Hamburger SV.
- Where and when is Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach played?
- Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach is played on November 7, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Volksparkstadion, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026SC FreiburgvsUnion Berlin
- Nov 7, 2026FSV Mainz 05vsBayern München
- Nov 7, 2026Borussia DortmundvsSV Elversberg
- Nov 7, 20261899 HoffenheimvsFC Schalke 04
- Nov 7, 2026VfB StuttgartvsWerder Bremen
- Nov 7, 2026RB LeipzigvsFC Augsburg
- Nov 7, 2026SC Paderborn 07vsEintracht Frankfurt
- Nov 7, 20261. FC KölnvsBayer Leverkusen