Match

Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

Hamburger SVBorussia Mönchengladbach

The Footlab model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Hamburger SV. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Hamburger SV (2,057) and Borussia Mönchengladbach (2,110).

Hamburger SV win28 %
Draw23 %
Borussia Mönchengladbach win49 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hamburger SV have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Borussia Mönchengladbach have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hamburger SV
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Toulouse(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Lille(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Everton(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Rapid Vienna(away)2-3Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)1-1Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Schott Mainz(away)5-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Aston Villa(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 12, 2026SSVg Velbert(away)8-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Hansa Rostock(away)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hamburger SV win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Borussia Mönchengladbach win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 17, 2026Hamburger SV 0-0 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
Aug 24, 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-0 Hamburger SVBundesliga
May 12, 2018Hamburger SV 2-1 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
Dec 15, 2017Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-1 Hamburger SVBundesliga
Mar 12, 2017Hamburger SV 2-1 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
Mar 1, 2017Hamburger SV 1-2 Borussia MönchengladbachDFB Pokal

Last archived meeting: Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach on Jan 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hamburger SV score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Mönchengladbach score 2.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hamburger SV1.41.9013/1511/15
Borussia Mönchengladbach2.90.968/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hamburger SV sit 13th in Bundesliga (38 points from 34 matches) and Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 12th (38 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Borussia Mönchengladbach3491114425338
13Hamburger SV3491114405438

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
The Footlab model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Hamburger SV.
Where and when is Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach played?
Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach is played on November 7, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Volksparkstadion, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Hamburger SV and Borussia Mönchengladbach

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