Match

Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, Dortmund

Borussia DortmundSV Elversberg

The Footlab AI model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 70%, against 17% for a draw and 13% for SV Elversberg. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg?

Borussia Dortmund starts as the favourite with a 207-point Elo edge (2,326 vs 2,119).

70%17%13%
Borussia Dortmund winDrawSV Elversberg win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Borussia Dortmund

3-4-2-1
  1. 9S. Guirassy
  1. 24D. Svensson
  2. 26J. Ryerson
  3. 25J. Veerman
  4. 8F. Nmecha
  5. 14M. Beier
  6. 18E. Nwaneri
  1. 3W. Anton
  2. 22Kouakou Joane Gadou
  3. 39F. Mané
  1. 1G. Kobel

Known absences

  • N. SchlotterbeckOut · Ligament Stretching

SV Elversberg

4-2-3-1
  1. 42D. Mokwa
  1. 25L. Petkov
  2. 43F. Keidel
  3. 8Ł. Poręba
  4. 39William Cole Campbell
  5. 40Francis-Ikechukwu Onyeka
  1. 21L. Günther
  2. 30J. Gyamerah
  3. 31M. Rohr
  4. 19L. Pinckert
  1. 20N. Kristof

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Dortmund have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; SV Elversberg have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Borussia Dortmund
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 19, 2026VfB Stuttgart(away)1-0Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026SC Paderborn 07(home)3-0Bundesliga
Sep 8, 2026Villarreal(home)3-2UEFA Champions League
Sep 5, 20261899 Hoffenheim(away)3-2Bundesliga
Sep 1, 2026HEBC(away)5-0DFB Pokal
SV Elversberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 20, 2026FC Schalke 04(away)0-0Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026Bayern München(home)1-2Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(away)4-3Bundesliga
Aug 29, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(home)3-2Bundesliga
Aug 22, 2026MSV Duisburg(away)3-1DFB Pokal

How many goals should we expect?

Borussia Dortmund score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; SV Elversberg score 2.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Borussia Dortmund2.21.168/1510/15
SV Elversberg2.51.3411/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Borussia Dortmund sit 1st in Bundesliga (12 points from 4 matches) and SV Elversberg sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Borussia Dortmund44009212
7SV Elversberg4211877

A question about Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg?
The Footlab AI model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 70%, against 17% for a draw and 13% for SV Elversberg.
Where and when is Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg played?
Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg is played on November 7, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Borussia Dortmund and SV Elversberg

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