Where and when is 1. FC Köln vs SV Elversberg played?

1. FC Köln vs SV Elversberg is played on November 28, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at RheinEnergieSTADION, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

1. FC Köln vs SV Elversberg: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)RheinEnergieSTADION, Köln

1. FC Köln

SV Elversberg

The Footlab model makes SV Elversberg the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for 1. FC Köln. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1. FC Köln vs SV Elversberg?

A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate 1. FC Köln (2,048) and SV Elversberg (2,096).

1. FC Köln win37 %

Draw25 %

SV Elversberg win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Köln have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; SV Elversberg have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1. FC Köln
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Würzburger Kickers(away)	2-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 8, 2026	Real Sociedad(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 31, 2026	Hertha BSC(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 23, 2026	Bergisch Gladbach(away)	8-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026	Bayern München(away)	1-5	Bundesliga

SV Elversberg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	MSV Duisburg(away)	3-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Lorient(home)	4-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Mallorca(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 4, 2026	Strasbourg(away)	5-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	NEC Nijmegen(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 1. FC Köln win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 SV Elversberg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 25, 2025	1. FC Köln 1-0 SV Elversberg	2. Bundesliga
Aug 10, 2024	SV Elversberg 2-2 1. FC Köln	2. Bundesliga
Jul 24, 2021	1. FC Köln 2-1 SV Elversberg	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: 1. FC Köln vs SV Elversberg on Jan 25, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

1. FC Köln score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; SV Elversberg score 2.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
1. FC Köln	2.0	1.9	1	13/15	12/15
SV Elversberg	2.5	1.2	4	11/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	1. FC Köln	34	7	11	16	49	63	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Köln vs SV Elversberg?: The Footlab model makes SV Elversberg the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for 1. FC Köln.
Where and when is 1. FC Köln vs SV Elversberg played?: 1. FC Köln vs SV Elversberg is played on November 28, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at RheinEnergieSTADION, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.