Match

RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

RB LeipzigFC Augsburg

The Footlab model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 21% for FC Augsburg. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg?

RB Leipzig starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (2,209 vs 2,070).

RB Leipzig win60 %
Draw19 %
FC Augsburg win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RB Leipzig have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; FC Augsburg have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

RB Leipzig
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Eintracht Trier(away)6-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Bayern München(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Leeds(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Verl(home)4-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs
FC Augsburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Energie Cottbus(away)2-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Leeds(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Sassuolo(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 5, 2026Schwaz(away)15-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 30, 2026Bournemouth(home)2-5Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 RB Leipzig win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 FC Augsburg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 7, 2026RB Leipzig 2-1 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Oct 25, 2025FC Augsburg 0-6 RB LeipzigBundesliga
Feb 14, 2025FC Augsburg 0-0 RB LeipzigBundesliga
Sep 28, 2024RB Leipzig 4-0 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Feb 10, 2024FC Augsburg 2-2 RB LeipzigBundesliga
Sep 16, 2023RB Leipzig 3-0 FC AugsburgBundesliga

Last archived meeting: RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

RB Leipzig score 2.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; FC Augsburg score 2.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
RB Leipzig2.21.459/1512/15
FC Augsburg2.52.0210/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

RB Leipzig sit 3rd in Bundesliga (65 points from 34 matches) and FC Augsburg sit 9th (43 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3RB Leipzig342059664765
9FC Augsburg3412715456143

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg?
The Footlab model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 21% for FC Augsburg.
Where and when is RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg played?
RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg is played on November 7, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Red Bull Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: RB Leipzig and FC Augsburg

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