RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
The Footlab model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 21% for FC Augsburg. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg?
RB Leipzig starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (2,209 vs 2,070).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RB Leipzig have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; FC Augsburg have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eintracht Trier(away) | 6-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bayern München(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leeds(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Verl(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Ingolstadt 04(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(away) | 2-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leeds(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sassuolo(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Schwaz(away) | 15-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 RB Leipzig win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 FC Augsburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | RB Leipzig 2-1 FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| Oct 25, 2025 | FC Augsburg 0-6 RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| Feb 14, 2025 | FC Augsburg 0-0 RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| Sep 28, 2024 | RB Leipzig 4-0 FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| Feb 10, 2024 | FC Augsburg 2-2 RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| Sep 16, 2023 | RB Leipzig 3-0 FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
RB Leipzig score 2.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; FC Augsburg score 2.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 2.2 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| FC Augsburg | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
RB Leipzig sit 3rd in Bundesliga (65 points from 34 matches) and FC Augsburg sit 9th (43 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66 | 47 | 65 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 61 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg?
- The Footlab model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 21% for FC Augsburg.
- Where and when is RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg played?
- RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg is played on November 7, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Red Bull Arena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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