Where and when is VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen played?

VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen is played on November 7, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at MHPArena, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)MHPArena, Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

Werder Bremen

The Footlab model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Werder Bremen. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?

VfB Stuttgart starts as the favourite with a 211-point Elo edge (2,244 vs 2,033).

VfB Stuttgart win62 %

Draw20 %

Werder Bremen win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfB Stuttgart have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Werder Bremen have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfB Stuttgart
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Hansa Rostock(away)	4-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Fulham(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Everton(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Paris FC(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Kickers Offenbach(away)	8-1	Friendlies Clubs

Werder Bremen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Lüneburger SK Hansa(away)	3-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Auxerre(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	SC Paderborn 07(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Energie Cottbus(away)	4-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	VfL Bochum(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 VfB Stuttgart win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Werder Bremen win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 26, 2026	VfB Stuttgart 1-1 Werder Bremen	Bundesliga
Dec 14, 2025	Werder Bremen 0-4 VfB Stuttgart	Bundesliga
Apr 13, 2025	VfB Stuttgart 1-2 Werder Bremen	Bundesliga
Nov 30, 2024	Werder Bremen 2-2 VfB Stuttgart	Bundesliga
Apr 21, 2024	Werder Bremen 2-1 VfB Stuttgart	Bundesliga
Dec 2, 2023	VfB Stuttgart 2-0 Werder Bremen	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen on Apr 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

VfB Stuttgart score 3.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Werder Bremen score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
VfB Stuttgart	3.1	1.3	4	9/15	13/15
Werder Bremen	1.8	1.3	4	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfB Stuttgart sit 4th in Bundesliga (62 points from 34 matches) and Werder Bremen sit 15th (32 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	18	8	8	71	49	62
15	Werder Bremen	34	8	8	18	37	60	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?: The Footlab model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Werder Bremen.
Where and when is VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen played?: VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen is played on November 7, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at MHPArena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.