SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau
The Footlab AI model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 71%, against 16% for a draw and 13% for Union Berlin. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
SC Freiburg starts as the favourite with a 216-point Elo edge (2,224 vs 2,009).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
SC Freiburg
4-2-3-1- 31I. Matanović
- 19J. Beste
- 8M. Eggestein
- 14Y. Suzuki
- 16Y. Engelhardt
- 7D. Scherhant
- 28M. Ginter
- 33J. Makengo
- 3P. Lienhart
- 29P. Treu
- 1M. Backhaus
Union Berlin
4-1-2-1-2- 29E. Latte Lath
- 11Jeong Woo-Yeong
- 8R. Khedira
- 20M. Aebischer
- 6A. Kemlein
- 13A. Schäfer
- 15T. Rothe
- 2F. Uduokhai
- 14L. Querfeld
- 18J. Juranović
- 1F. Rønnow
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Freiburg have 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Union Berlin have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Luzern(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(away) | 2-2 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 5-0 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07(away) | 1-0 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Werder Bremen(home) | 4-1 | Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Bayern München(away) | 0-7 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | FC Schalke 04(home) | 1-3 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 0-4 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(home) | 3-3 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eintracht Braunschweig(away) | 4-2 | DFB Pokal |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 SC Freiburg wins, 3 draws, 3 Union Berlin wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | SC Freiburg 0-1 Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Union Berlin 0-0 SC Freiburg | Bundesliga |
| Mar 30, 2025 | SC Freiburg 1-2 Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Union Berlin 0-0 SC Freiburg | Bundesliga |
| May 18, 2024 | Union Berlin 2-1 SC Freiburg | Bundesliga |
| Jan 13, 2024 | SC Freiburg 0-0 Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SC Freiburg score 3.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Union Berlin score 2.3 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg | 3.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Union Berlin | 2.3 | 2.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SC Freiburg sit 3rd in Bundesliga (10 points from 4 matches) and Union Berlin sit 17th (1 point from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 10 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 1 |
A question about SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
- The Footlab AI model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 71%, against 16% for a draw and 13% for Union Berlin.
- Where and when is SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin played?
- SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin is played on November 7, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Europa-Park Stadion, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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