Where and when is SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin played?

SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin is played on November 7, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Europa-Park Stadion, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau

SC Freiburg

Union Berlin

The Footlab model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Union Berlin. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin?

SC Freiburg starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (2,195 vs 2,034).

SC Freiburg win54 %

Draw22 %

Union Berlin win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Freiburg have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Union Berlin have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SC Freiburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Fortuna Düsseldorf(away)	5-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 20, 2026	Motherwell(away)	3-1	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 15, 2026	Crystal Palace(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Strasbourg(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Derby(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs

Union Berlin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Eintracht Braunschweig(away)	4-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Ipswich(home)	2-4	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 9, 2026	Aris(home)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 2, 2026	Cagliari(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Dynamo Dresden(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 SC Freiburg win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Union Berlin win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 15, 2026	SC Freiburg 0-1 Union Berlin	Bundesliga
Nov 1, 2025	Union Berlin 0-0 SC Freiburg	Bundesliga
Mar 30, 2025	SC Freiburg 1-2 Union Berlin	Bundesliga
Nov 8, 2024	Union Berlin 0-0 SC Freiburg	Bundesliga
May 18, 2024	Union Berlin 2-1 SC Freiburg	Bundesliga
Jan 13, 2024	SC Freiburg 0-0 Union Berlin	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin on Mar 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SC Freiburg score 2.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Union Berlin score 2.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SC Freiburg	2.2	1.5	2	11/15	13/15
Union Berlin	2.5	1.9	1	13/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SC Freiburg sit 7th in Bundesliga (47 points from 34 matches) and Union Berlin sit 11th (39 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	SC Freiburg	34	13	8	13	51	57	47
11	Union Berlin	34	10	9	15	44	58	39

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin?: The Footlab model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Union Berlin.
Where and when is SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin played?: SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin is played on November 7, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Europa-Park Stadion, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.