Where and when is 1. FC Köln vs SC Freiburg played?

1. FC Köln vs SC Freiburg is played on January 9, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at RheinEnergieSTADION, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

1. FC Köln vs SC Freiburg: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)RheinEnergieSTADION, Köln

1. FC Köln

SC Freiburg

The Footlab model makes 1. FC Köln the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for SC Freiburg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1. FC Köln vs SC Freiburg?

SC Freiburg starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (2,195 vs 2,038).

1. FC Köln win39 %

Draw24 %

SC Freiburg win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Köln have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; SC Freiburg have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1. FC Köln
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Real Sociedad(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 31, 2026	Hertha BSC(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 23, 2026	Bergisch Gladbach(away)	8-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026	Bayern München(away)	1-5	Bundesliga
May 10, 2026	1. FC Heidenheim(home)	1-3	Bundesliga

SC Freiburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Fortuna Düsseldorf(away)	5-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 20, 2026	Motherwell(away)	3-1	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 15, 2026	Crystal Palace(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Strasbourg(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Derby(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 1. FC Köln win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 SC Freiburg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 25, 2026	SC Freiburg 2-1 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga
Aug 31, 2025	1. FC Köln 4-1 SC Freiburg	Bundesliga
May 4, 2024	1. FC Köln 0-0 SC Freiburg	Bundesliga
Dec 17, 2023	SC Freiburg 2-0 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga
Apr 29, 2023	1. FC Köln 0-1 SC Freiburg	Bundesliga
Nov 6, 2022	SC Freiburg 2-0 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Köln on Jan 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

1. FC Köln score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; SC Freiburg score 2.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
1. FC Köln	2.0	1.9	1	13/15	12/15
SC Freiburg	2.2	1.5	2	11/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1. FC Köln sit 14th in Bundesliga (32 points from 34 matches) and SC Freiburg sit 7th (47 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	SC Freiburg	34	13	8	13	51	57	47
14	1. FC Köln	34	7	11	16	49	63	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Köln vs SC Freiburg?: The Footlab model makes 1. FC Köln the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for SC Freiburg.
Where and when is 1. FC Köln vs SC Freiburg played?: 1. FC Köln vs SC Freiburg is played on January 9, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at RheinEnergieSTADION, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.