Where and when is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Bayern München played?

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Bayern München is played on January 9, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at BORUSSIA-PARK, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Bayern München: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)BORUSSIA-PARK, Mönchengladbach

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Bayern München

The Footlab model makes Bayern München the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 21% for Borussia Mönchengladbach. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Bayern München?

Bayern München is a heavy favourite: 2,524 Elo points against 2,107, a 417-point gap.

Borussia Mönchengladbach win21 %

Draw19 %

Bayern München win60 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Mönchengladbach have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Bayern München have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Borussia Mönchengladbach
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Schott Mainz(away)	5-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Aston Villa(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 12, 2026	SSVg Velbert(away)	8-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Hansa Rostock(away)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

Bayern München
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Borussia Dortmund(away)	2-1	Super Cup
Aug 18, 2026	1. FC Heidenheim(away)	4-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	RB Leipzig(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 7, 2026	Aston Villa(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 4, 2026	Jeju United FC(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Borussia Mönchengladbach win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Bayern München win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 6, 2026	Bayern München 4-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach	Bundesliga
Oct 25, 2025	Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-3 Bayern München	Bundesliga
May 10, 2025	Bayern München 2-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach	Bundesliga
Jan 11, 2025	Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-1 Bayern München	Bundesliga
Feb 3, 2024	Bayern München 3-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach	Bundesliga
Sep 2, 2023	Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-2 Bayern München	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Bayern München vs Borussia Mönchengladbach on Mar 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Borussia Mönchengladbach score 2.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bayern München score 2.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Borussia Mönchengladbach	2.9	0.9	6	8/15	11/15
Bayern München	2.7	1.5	3	12/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 12th in Bundesliga (38 points from 34 matches) and Bayern München sit 1st (89 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bayern München	34	28	5	1	122	36	89
12	Borussia Mönchengladbach	34	9	11	14	42	53	38

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Bayern München?: The Footlab model makes Bayern München the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 21% for Borussia Mönchengladbach.
Where and when is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Bayern München played?: Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Bayern München is played on January 9, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at BORUSSIA-PARK, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.