Match

SC Paderborn 07 vs RB Leipzig: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn

SC Paderborn 07RB Leipzig

The Footlab AI model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for SC Paderborn 07. The most likely score is 1-1. If RB Leipzig wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs RB Leipzig?

RB Leipzig starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (2,218 vs 2,095).

28%23%49%
SC Paderborn 07 winDrawRB Leipzig win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for SC Paderborn 07 vs RB Leipzig

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

SC Paderborn 07

3-5-2
  1. 18M. Pieringer
  2. 30S. Marino
  1. 5S. Castañeda
  2. 40G. Vidović
  3. 23R. Obermair
  4. 17L. Curda
  5. 28L. Ulrich
  1. 21J. ter Horst
  2. 22M. Hansen
  3. 25T. Scheller
  1. 15N. Noll

RB Leipzig

4-2-3-1
  1. 40Rômulo
  1. 7A. Nusa
  2. 6E. Banzuzi
  3. 21N. El Aynaoui
  4. 28C. Nkunku
  5. 10B. Gruda
  1. 4W. Orbán
  2. 22D. Raum
  3. 17R. Baku
  4. 23C. Lukeba
  1. 26M. Vandevoordt

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:57 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Paderborn 07 have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; RB Leipzig have 8, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SC Paderborn 07
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026VfB Stuttgart(home)0-2Bundesliga
Sep 30, 2026DC United(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 20261899 Hoffenheim(home)3-1Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026Borussia Dortmund(away)0-3Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026SC Freiburg(home)0-1Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026PSV Eindhoven(home)1-0UEFA Champions League
Oct 10, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(home)6-0Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)0-2Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026Hamburger SV(home)5-0Bundesliga
Sep 10, 2026Como(away)1-4UEFA Champions League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 0 SC Paderborn 07 wins, 1 draw, 4 RB Leipzig wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 6, 2020RB Leipzig 1-1 SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga
Nov 30, 2019SC Paderborn 07 2-3 RB LeipzigBundesliga
Feb 26, 2016SC Paderborn 07 0-1 RB Leipzig2. Bundesliga
Sep 11, 2015RB Leipzig 2-0 SC Paderborn 072. Bundesliga
Aug 17, 2014RB Leipzig 2-1 SC Paderborn 07DFB Pokal

Last archived meeting: RB Leipzig vs SC Paderborn 07 on Jun 6, 2020

How many goals should we expect?

SC Paderborn 07 score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; RB Leipzig score 2.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SC Paderborn 071.41.557/158/15
RB Leipzig2.21.576/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SC Paderborn 07 sit 15th in Bundesliga (4 points from 5 matches) and RB Leipzig sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5RB Leipzig53021559
15SC Paderborn 075113374

A question about SC Paderborn 07 vs RB Leipzig?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SC Paderborn 07 vs RB Leipzig?
The Footlab AI model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for SC Paderborn 07.
Where and when is SC Paderborn 07 vs RB Leipzig played?
SC Paderborn 07 vs RB Leipzig is played on January 9, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Home Deluxe Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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