VfB Stuttgart vs FC Augsburg: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)MHPArena, Stuttgart
The Footlab model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 65%, against 18% for a draw and 18% for FC Augsburg. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs FC Augsburg?
VfB Stuttgart starts as the favourite with a 179-point Elo edge (2,250 vs 2,070).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfB Stuttgart have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; FC Augsburg have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(away) | 4-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fulham(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Everton(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Paris FC(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(away) | 8-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(away) | 2-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leeds(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sassuolo(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Schwaz(away) | 15-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 VfB Stuttgart win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 FC Augsburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | FC Augsburg 2-5 VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| Nov 9, 2025 | VfB Stuttgart 3-2 FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| May 11, 2025 | VfB Stuttgart 4-0 FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| Feb 4, 2025 | VfB Stuttgart 1-0 FC Augsburg | DFB Pokal |
| Jan 12, 2025 | FC Augsburg 0-1 VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| May 10, 2024 | FC Augsburg 0-1 VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: FC Augsburg vs VfB Stuttgart on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
VfB Stuttgart score 3.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Augsburg score 2.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | 3.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| FC Augsburg | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfB Stuttgart sit 4th in Bundesliga (62 points from 34 matches) and FC Augsburg sit 9th (43 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71 | 49 | 62 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 61 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfB Stuttgart vs FC Augsburg?
- The Footlab model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 65%, against 18% for a draw and 18% for FC Augsburg.
- Where and when is VfB Stuttgart vs FC Augsburg played?
- VfB Stuttgart vs FC Augsburg is played on January 9, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at MHPArena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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