Match

VfB Stuttgart vs FC Augsburg: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)MHPArena, Stuttgart

VfB StuttgartFC Augsburg

The Footlab model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 65%, against 18% for a draw and 18% for FC Augsburg. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs FC Augsburg?

VfB Stuttgart starts as the favourite with a 179-point Elo edge (2,250 vs 2,070).

VfB Stuttgart win65 %
Draw18 %
FC Augsburg win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfB Stuttgart have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; FC Augsburg have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfB Stuttgart
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Hansa Rostock(away)4-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Fulham(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Everton(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Paris FC(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026Kickers Offenbach(away)8-1Friendlies Clubs
FC Augsburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Energie Cottbus(away)2-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Leeds(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Sassuolo(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 5, 2026Schwaz(away)15-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 30, 2026Bournemouth(home)2-5Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 6 VfB Stuttgart win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 FC Augsburg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 22, 2026FC Augsburg 2-5 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
Nov 9, 2025VfB Stuttgart 3-2 FC AugsburgBundesliga
May 11, 2025VfB Stuttgart 4-0 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Feb 4, 2025VfB Stuttgart 1-0 FC AugsburgDFB Pokal
Jan 12, 2025FC Augsburg 0-1 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
May 10, 2024FC Augsburg 0-1 VfB StuttgartBundesliga

Last archived meeting: FC Augsburg vs VfB Stuttgart on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

VfB Stuttgart score 3.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Augsburg score 2.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
VfB Stuttgart3.11.349/1513/15
FC Augsburg2.52.0210/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfB Stuttgart sit 4th in Bundesliga (62 points from 34 matches) and FC Augsburg sit 9th (43 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4VfB Stuttgart341888714962
9FC Augsburg3412715456143

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfB Stuttgart vs FC Augsburg?
The Footlab model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 65%, against 18% for a draw and 18% for FC Augsburg.
Where and when is VfB Stuttgart vs FC Augsburg played?
VfB Stuttgart vs FC Augsburg is played on January 9, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at MHPArena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: VfB Stuttgart and FC Augsburg

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