Werder Bremen vs Union Berlin: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Weserstadion, Bremen
The Footlab AI model makes Werder Bremen the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Union Berlin. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Werder Bremen vs Union Berlin?
On Elo ratings, Werder Bremen has 2,081 points and Union Berlin 2,030.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Werder Bremen vs Union Berlin
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Werder Bremen
4-2-3-1- 10N. Füllkrug
- 15L. Reis
- 20Chuky San José
- 17M. Grüll
- 44Y. Regeer
- 18E. Dinkçi
- 2O. Deman
- 32M. Friedl
- 5A. Pieper
- 13Arthur
- 1K. Hein
Union Berlin
4-1-4-1- 29E. Latte Lath
- 8R. Khedira
- 20M. Aebischer
- 11Jeong Woo-Yeong
- 13A. Schäfer
- 30K. Imeri
- 15T. Rothe
- 2F. Uduokhai
- 19J. Haberer
- 4Z. Van Den Bosch
- 1F. Rønnow
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Werder Bremen have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Union Berlin have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(away) | 2-2 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Augsburg(home) | 3-2 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | 1. FC Köln(away) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | RB Leipzig(home) | 3-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | SC Freiburg(away) | 1-4 | Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | SV Elversberg(home) | 1-0 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Bayern München(away) | 0-7 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | FC Schalke 04(home) | 1-3 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 0-4 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(home) | 3-3 | Bundesliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Werder Bremen wins, 1 draw, 1 Union Berlin win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Union Berlin 1-4 Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Werder Bremen 1-0 Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| May 3, 2025 | Union Berlin 2-2 Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Werder Bremen 4-1 Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Union Berlin 2-1 Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Werder Bremen 2-0 Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Werder Bremen score 2.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Union Berlin score 2.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen | 2.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Union Berlin | 2.1 | 2.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Werder Bremen sit 7th in Bundesliga (8 points from 5 matches) and Union Berlin sit 16th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 4 |
A question about Werder Bremen vs Union Berlin?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Werder Bremen vs Union Berlin?
- The Footlab AI model makes Werder Bremen the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Union Berlin.
- Where and when is Werder Bremen vs Union Berlin played?
- Werder Bremen vs Union Berlin is played on January 9, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Weserstadion, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 9, 2027Borussia MönchengladbachvsBayern München
- Jan 9, 2027Borussia DortmundvsFSV Mainz 05
- Jan 9, 20271899 HoffenheimvsSV Elversberg
- Jan 9, 2027Eintracht FrankfurtvsFC Schalke 04
- Jan 9, 2027VfB StuttgartvsFC Augsburg
- Jan 9, 2027Hamburger SVvsBayer Leverkusen
- Jan 9, 2027SC Paderborn 07vsRB Leipzig
- Jan 9, 20271. FC KölnvsSC Freiburg