Where and when is SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Magdeburg played?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Magdeburg is played on September 19, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Magdeburg: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

1. FC Magdeburg

The Footlab model makes 1. FC Magdeburg the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Magdeburg?

A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate SpVgg Greuther Fürth (1,874) and 1. FC Magdeburg (1,960).

SpVgg Greuther Fürth win34 %

Draw24 %

1. FC Magdeburg win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; 1. FC Magdeburg have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	1. FC Nürnberg(home)	2-4	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	FC St. Pauli(away)	1-1	2. Bundesliga
Jul 18, 2026	FC Zurich(away)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026	Eintracht Bamberg(home)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 8, 2026	Eltersdorf(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs

1. FC Magdeburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	VfL Osnabrück(away)	3-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	Eintracht Braunschweig(home)	1-6	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	West Ham(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Schöningen(away)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 12, 2026	BSG Chemie Leipzig(away)	4-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 1. FC Magdeburg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 6, 2026	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 4-5 1. FC Magdeburg	2. Bundesliga
Aug 31, 2025	1. FC Magdeburg 4-5 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2. Bundesliga
Mar 8, 2025	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-1 1. FC Magdeburg	2. Bundesliga
Oct 6, 2024	1. FC Magdeburg 2-2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2. Bundesliga
May 10, 2024	1. FC Magdeburg 0-0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2. Bundesliga
Dec 9, 2023	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-1 1. FC Magdeburg	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Magdeburg on Feb 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Magdeburg score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SpVgg Greuther Fürth	1.2	1.6	3	8/15	8/15
1. FC Magdeburg	2.0	1.3	4	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 16th in 2. Bundesliga (1 points from 2 matches) and 1. FC Magdeburg sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	1. FC Magdeburg	2	1	0	1	4	6	3
16	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2	0	1	1	3	5	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Magdeburg?: The Footlab model makes 1. FC Magdeburg the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Where and when is SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Magdeburg played?: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Magdeburg is played on September 19, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.