1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 3Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)PreZero Arena, Sinsheim
The Footlab AI model makes 1899 Hoffenheim the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Lyon. The most likely score is 1-1. If 1899 Hoffenheim wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate 1899 Hoffenheim (2,115) and Lyon (2,149).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
1899 Hoffenheim
4-2-3-1- 19T. Lemperle
- 7L. Avdullahu
- 18W. Burger
- 14A. Daghim
- 10A. Hložek
- 20B. Conté
- 34V. Coufal
- 5O. Kabak
- 39M. Rots
- 28K. Machida
- 1O. Baumann
Lyon
4-2-3-1- 17L. Openda
- 23T. Morton
- 8C. Tolisso
- 7E. Nuamah
- 2M. Bidstrup
- 10P. Šulc
- 20F. Bacher
- 13Z. Athekame
- 16Abner
- 21R. Kluivert
- 1D. Greif
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1899 Hoffenheim have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Lyon have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hamburger SV(home) | 2-3 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07(away) | 1-3 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | OFI(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart(home) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(home) | 2-3 | Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Lens(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rennes(home) | 4-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Anderlecht(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Paris FC(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Auxerre(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 1899 Hoffenheim wins, 3 draws, 0 Lyon wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1899 Hoffenheim 2-2 Lyon | UEFA Europa League |
| Nov 7, 2018 | Lyon 2-2 1899 Hoffenheim | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 1899 Hoffenheim 3-3 Lyon | UEFA Champions League |
Last archived meeting: 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon on Nov 7, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
1899 Hoffenheim score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Lyon score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 1.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
| Lyon | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
1899 Hoffenheim sit 30th in UEFA Europa League (0 points from 1 match) and Lyon sit 11th (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 30 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
A question about 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon?
- The Footlab AI model makes 1899 Hoffenheim the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Lyon.
- Where and when is 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon played?
- 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon is played on October 22, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at PreZero Arena, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.