Where and when is 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Defensores de Belgrano VR played?

9 de Julio Rafaela vs Defensores de Belgrano VR is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Germán Malacho Soltermam, in the Torneo Federal A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

9 de Julio Rafaela vs Defensores de Belgrano VR: prediction and stats

Torneo Federal AWinners Stage - 6Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Germán Malacho Soltermam, Rafaela, Provincia de Santa Fe

9 de Julio Rafaela

Defensores de Belgrano VR

The Footlab model makes 9 de Julio Rafaela the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for Defensores de Belgrano VR. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Defensores de Belgrano VR?

A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate 9 de Julio Rafaela (1,701) and Defensores de Belgrano VR (1,704).

9 de Julio Rafaela win49 %

Draw29 %

Defensores de Belgrano VR win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 9 de Julio Rafaela have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Defensores de Belgrano VR have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

9 de Julio Rafaela
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	San Martin Formosa(away)	1-2	Torneo Federal A
Aug 12, 2026	Gimnasia Chivilcoy(home)	1-0	Torneo Federal A
Aug 7, 2026	Sportivo Belgrano(away)	1-1	Torneo Federal A
Aug 2, 2026	Douglas Haig(home)	0-0	Torneo Federal A
Jul 26, 2026	Douglas Haig(away)	1-2	Torneo Federal A

Defensores de Belgrano VR
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Gimnasia Chivilcoy(home)	0-1	Torneo Federal A
Aug 17, 2026	Sportivo Belgrano(away)	2-0	Torneo Federal A
Aug 12, 2026	Douglas Haig(home)	0-0	Torneo Federal A
Aug 8, 2026	Sol de América(away)	0-1	Torneo Federal A
Aug 2, 2026	Bartolomé Mitre(home)	1-0	Torneo Federal A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 9 de Julio Rafaela win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Defensores de Belgrano VR win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 12, 2026	9 de Julio Rafaela 1-2 Defensores de Belgrano VR	Torneo Federal A
May 10, 2026	Defensores de Belgrano VR 0-0 9 de Julio Rafaela	Torneo Federal A
May 18, 2025	Defensores de Belgrano VR 0-1 9 de Julio Rafaela	Torneo Federal A
Mar 16, 2025	9 de Julio Rafaela 1-1 Defensores de Belgrano VR	Torneo Federal A
Aug 11, 2024	Defensores de Belgrano VR 1-1 9 de Julio Rafaela	Torneo Federal A
Jun 2, 2024	9 de Julio Rafaela 0-2 Defensores de Belgrano VR	Torneo Federal A

Last archived meeting: 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Defensores de Belgrano VR on Jul 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

9 de Julio Rafaela score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Defensores de Belgrano VR score 0.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
9 de Julio Rafaela	1.1	1.4	4	8/15	8/15
Defensores de Belgrano VR	0.9	0.8	6	4/15	3/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

9 de Julio Rafaela sit 3rd in Torneo Federal A (19 points from 13 matches) and Defensores de Belgrano VR sit 5th (18 points from 13 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	9 de Julio Rafaela	13	5	4	4	21	17	19
5	Defensores de Belgrano VR	13	5	3	5	16	15	18
7	Defensores de Belgrano VR	18	7	6	5	24	20	27
14	9 de Julio Rafaela	18	7	4	7	28	27	25

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Defensores de Belgrano VR?: The Footlab model makes 9 de Julio Rafaela the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for Defensores de Belgrano VR.
Where and when is 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Defensores de Belgrano VR played?: 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Defensores de Belgrano VR is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Germán Malacho Soltermam, in the Torneo Federal A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.