Atenas vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca: prediction and stats
Torneo Federal AWinners Stage - 6Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio 9 de Julio, Ciudad de Río Cuarto, Provincia de Córdoba
The Footlab model calls this one tight: 31% for Atenas, 38% for a draw, 31% for Olimpo Bahia Blanca. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atenas vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Atenas (1,714) and Olimpo Bahia Blanca (1,789).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atenas have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Olimpo Bahia Blanca have 6, 8 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cipolletti(away) | 2-2 | Torneo Federal A |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Kimberley Mar del Plata(home) | 2-1 | Torneo Federal A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Argentino Monte Maíz(away) | 2-1 | Torneo Federal A |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Villa Mitre(home) | 0-1 | Torneo Federal A |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Juventud Unida Univ.(home) | 0-0 | Torneo Federal A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kimberley Mar del Plata(home) | 1-0 | Torneo Federal A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Argentino Monte Maíz(away) | 1-1 | Torneo Federal A |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Villa Mitre(home) | 2-0 | Torneo Federal A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Huracan Las Heras(away) | 1-0 | Torneo Federal A |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Juventud Antoniana(home) | 0-0 | Torneo Federal A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Atenas win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2025 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca 0-0 Atenas | Torneo Federal A |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca 2-0 Atenas | Torneo Federal A |
Last archived meeting: Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Atenas on Aug 31, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Atenas score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Olimpo Bahia Blanca score 0.7 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 20% probability of over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atenas | 0.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 0.7 | 0.3 | 11 | 3/15 | 0/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atenas sit 3rd in Torneo Federal A (17 points from 11 matches) and Olimpo Bahia Blanca sit 1st (22 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 22 |
| 1 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 31 |
| 3 | Atenas | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 17 |
| 18 | Atenas | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atenas vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
- The Footlab model calls this one tight: 31% for Atenas, 38% for a draw, 31% for Olimpo Bahia Blanca.
- Where and when is Atenas vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca played?
- Atenas vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio 9 de Julio, in the Torneo Federal A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 20% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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