Match

Atenas vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca: prediction and stats

Torneo Federal AWinners Stage - 6Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio 9 de Julio, Ciudad de Río Cuarto, Provincia de Córdoba

AtenasOlimpo Bahia Blanca

The Footlab model calls this one tight: 31% for Atenas, 38% for a draw, 31% for Olimpo Bahia Blanca. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atenas vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?

A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Atenas (1,714) and Olimpo Bahia Blanca (1,789).

Atenas win31 %
Draw38 %
Olimpo Bahia Blanca win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atenas have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Olimpo Bahia Blanca have 6, 8 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atenas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Cipolletti(away)2-2Torneo Federal A
Aug 13, 2026Kimberley Mar del Plata(home)2-1Torneo Federal A
Aug 8, 2026Argentino Monte Maíz(away)2-1Torneo Federal A
Aug 2, 2026Villa Mitre(home)0-1Torneo Federal A
Jul 26, 2026Juventud Unida Univ.(home)0-0Torneo Federal A
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Kimberley Mar del Plata(home)1-0Torneo Federal A
Aug 16, 2026Argentino Monte Maíz(away)1-1Torneo Federal A
Aug 12, 2026Villa Mitre(home)2-0Torneo Federal A
Aug 8, 2026Huracan Las Heras(away)1-0Torneo Federal A
Aug 2, 2026Juventud Antoniana(home)0-0Torneo Federal A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Atenas win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 31, 2025Olimpo Bahia Blanca 0-0 AtenasTorneo Federal A
Nov 5, 2023Olimpo Bahia Blanca 2-0 AtenasTorneo Federal A

Last archived meeting: Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Atenas on Aug 31, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Atenas score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Olimpo Bahia Blanca score 0.7 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 20% probability of over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Atenas0.71.065/155/15
Olimpo Bahia Blanca0.70.3113/150/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Atenas sit 3rd in Torneo Federal A (17 points from 11 matches) and Olimpo Bahia Blanca sit 1st (22 points from 11 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca116419322
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca1687113431
3Atenas115249917
18Atenas16655121323

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atenas vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
The Footlab model calls this one tight: 31% for Atenas, 38% for a draw, 31% for Olimpo Bahia Blanca.
Where and when is Atenas vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca played?
Atenas vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio 9 de Julio, in the Torneo Federal A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 20% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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