Villa Mitre vs Huracan Las Heras: prediction and stats
Torneo Federal AWinners Stage - 6Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Fortín, Bahía Blanca, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Villa Mitre the favourite at 57%, against 33% for a draw and 9% for Huracan Las Heras. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villa Mitre vs Huracan Las Heras?
Villa Mitre starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,759 vs 1,631).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villa Mitre have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Huracan Las Heras have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Juventud Antoniana(away) | 0-0 | Torneo Federal A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Alvarado(home) | 0-0 | Torneo Federal A |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca(away) | 0-2 | Torneo Federal A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cipolletti(home) | 1-1 | Torneo Federal A |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Atenas(away) | 1-0 | Torneo Federal A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Juventud Antoniana(home) | 1-0 | Torneo Federal A |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Alvarado(away) | 0-1 | Torneo Federal A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca(home) | 0-1 | Torneo Federal A |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Cipolletti(away) | 0-1 | Torneo Federal A |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Fundacion Amigos(home) | 0-0 | Torneo Federal A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Villa Mitre win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Huracan Las Heras win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2022 | Huracan Las Heras 2-1 Villa Mitre | Torneo Federal A |
| Mar 27, 2022 | Villa Mitre 2-0 Huracan Las Heras | Torneo Federal A |
| Aug 8, 2021 | Villa Mitre 3-3 Huracan Las Heras | Torneo Federal A |
| Apr 11, 2021 | Huracan Las Heras 2-1 Villa Mitre | Torneo Federal A |
| Jan 10, 2021 | Huracan Las Heras 2-2 Villa Mitre | Torneo Federal A |
| Feb 16, 2020 | Huracan Las Heras 0-0 Villa Mitre | Torneo Federal A |
Last archived meeting: Huracan Las Heras vs Villa Mitre on Jul 10, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Villa Mitre score 0.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Huracan Las Heras score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 18% probability of over 2.5 goals and 19% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villa Mitre | 0.9 | 0.5 | 10 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Huracan Las Heras | 0.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villa Mitre sit 6th in Torneo Federal A (12 points from 11 matches) and Huracan Las Heras sit 5th (16 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Huracan Las Heras | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 16 |
| 6 | Villa Mitre | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 |
| 16 | Villa Mitre | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 23 |
| 19 | Huracan Las Heras | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villa Mitre vs Huracan Las Heras?
- The Footlab model makes Villa Mitre the favourite at 57%, against 33% for a draw and 9% for Huracan Las Heras.
- Where and when is Villa Mitre vs Huracan Las Heras played?
- Villa Mitre vs Huracan Las Heras is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Fortín, in the Torneo Federal A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 18% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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