Match

Sportivo Belgrano vs Bartolomé Mitre: prediction and stats

Torneo Federal AWinners Stage - 6Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Pablo Francia, San Francisco, Provincia de Córdoba

Sportivo BelgranoBartolomé Mitre

The Footlab model makes Sportivo Belgrano the favourite at 43%, against 37% for a draw and 20% for Bartolomé Mitre. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sportivo Belgrano vs Bartolomé Mitre?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Sportivo Belgrano (1,720) and Bartolomé Mitre (1,702).

Sportivo Belgrano win43 %
Draw37 %
Bartolomé Mitre win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportivo Belgrano have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Bartolomé Mitre have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sportivo Belgrano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Sarmiento de La Banda(away)0-3Torneo Federal A
Aug 17, 2026Defensores de Belgrano VR(home)0-2Torneo Federal A
Aug 12, 2026San Martin Formosa(away)0-2Torneo Federal A
Aug 7, 20269 de Julio Rafaela(home)1-1Torneo Federal A
Aug 1, 2026Gimnasia Chivilcoy(away)0-0Torneo Federal A
Bartolomé Mitre
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Douglas Haig(home)0-3Torneo Federal A
Aug 16, 2026Sol de América(away)1-2Torneo Federal A
Aug 8, 2026Sarmiento de La Banda(home)1-1Torneo Federal A
Aug 2, 2026Defensores de Belgrano VR(away)0-1Torneo Federal A
Jul 26, 2026San Martin Formosa(away)0-1Torneo Federal A

How many goals should we expect?

Sportivo Belgrano score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bartolomé Mitre score 0.8 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 19% probability of over 2.5 goals and 27% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sportivo Belgrano0.80.965/153/15
Bartolomé Mitre0.80.874/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sportivo Belgrano sit 1st in Torneo Federal A (25 points from 13 matches) and Bartolomé Mitre sit 1st (22 points from 12 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Sportivo Belgrano1374217525
1Bartolomé Mitre1264212522
3Sportivo Belgrano1879221930
9Bartolomé Mitre1675413726

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sportivo Belgrano vs Bartolomé Mitre?
The Footlab model makes Sportivo Belgrano the favourite at 43%, against 37% for a draw and 20% for Bartolomé Mitre.
Where and when is Sportivo Belgrano vs Bartolomé Mitre played?
Sportivo Belgrano vs Bartolomé Mitre is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Pablo Francia, in the Torneo Federal A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 19% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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