Sportivo Belgrano vs Bartolomé Mitre: prediction and stats
Torneo Federal AWinners Stage - 6Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Pablo Francia, San Francisco, Provincia de Córdoba
The Footlab model makes Sportivo Belgrano the favourite at 43%, against 37% for a draw and 20% for Bartolomé Mitre. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sportivo Belgrano vs Bartolomé Mitre?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Sportivo Belgrano (1,720) and Bartolomé Mitre (1,702).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportivo Belgrano have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Bartolomé Mitre have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sarmiento de La Banda(away) | 0-3 | Torneo Federal A |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Defensores de Belgrano VR(home) | 0-2 | Torneo Federal A |
| Aug 12, 2026 | San Martin Formosa(away) | 0-2 | Torneo Federal A |
| Aug 7, 2026 | 9 de Julio Rafaela(home) | 1-1 | Torneo Federal A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy(away) | 0-0 | Torneo Federal A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Douglas Haig(home) | 0-3 | Torneo Federal A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sol de América(away) | 1-2 | Torneo Federal A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sarmiento de La Banda(home) | 1-1 | Torneo Federal A |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Defensores de Belgrano VR(away) | 0-1 | Torneo Federal A |
| Jul 26, 2026 | San Martin Formosa(away) | 0-1 | Torneo Federal A |
How many goals should we expect?
Sportivo Belgrano score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bartolomé Mitre score 0.8 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 19% probability of over 2.5 goals and 27% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Belgrano | 0.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Bartolomé Mitre | 0.8 | 0.8 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sportivo Belgrano sit 1st in Torneo Federal A (25 points from 13 matches) and Bartolomé Mitre sit 1st (22 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sportivo Belgrano | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 5 | 25 |
| 1 | Bartolomé Mitre | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 22 |
| 3 | Sportivo Belgrano | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 30 |
| 9 | Bartolomé Mitre | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 7 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sportivo Belgrano vs Bartolomé Mitre?
- The Footlab model makes Sportivo Belgrano the favourite at 43%, against 37% for a draw and 20% for Bartolomé Mitre.
- Where and when is Sportivo Belgrano vs Bartolomé Mitre played?
- Sportivo Belgrano vs Bartolomé Mitre is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Pablo Francia, in the Torneo Federal A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 19% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 30, 2026Douglas HaigvsSol de América
- Aug 30, 2026Villa MitrevsHuracan Las Heras
- Aug 30, 2026Kimberley Mar del PlatavsAlvarado
- Aug 30, 2026Argentino Monte MaízvsJuventud Antoniana
- Aug 30, 20269 de Julio RafaelavsDefensores de Belgrano VR
- Aug 30, 2026AtenasvsOlimpo Bahia Blanca
- Aug 30, 2026Gimnasia ChivilcoyvsSarmiento de La Banda