Where and when is Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Alvarado played?

Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Alvarado is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José Antonio Valle, in the Torneo Federal A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 21% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Alvarado: prediction and stats

Torneo Federal AWinners Stage - 6Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio José Antonio Valle, Mar del Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Kimberley Mar del Plata

Alvarado

The Footlab model makes Kimberley Mar del Plata the favourite at 38%, against 37% for a draw and 25% for Alvarado. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Alvarado?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Kimberley Mar del Plata (1,734) and Alvarado (1,745).

Kimberley Mar del Plata win38 %

Draw37 %

Alvarado win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kimberley Mar del Plata have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Alvarado have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kimberley Mar del Plata
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Olimpo Bahia Blanca(away)	0-1	Torneo Federal A
Aug 16, 2026	Cipolletti(home)	3-1	Torneo Federal A
Aug 13, 2026	Atenas(away)	1-2	Torneo Federal A
Aug 3, 2026	Argentino Monte Maíz(home)	1-0	Torneo Federal A
Jul 24, 2026	Circulo Deportivo(home)	1-1	Torneo Federal A

Alvarado
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Argentino Monte Maíz(home)	1-1	Torneo Federal A
Aug 16, 2026	Villa Mitre(away)	0-0	Torneo Federal A
Aug 12, 2026	Huracan Las Heras(home)	1-0	Torneo Federal A
Aug 8, 2026	Juventud Antoniana(away)	2-0	Torneo Federal A
Jul 12, 2026	Santamarina(away)	0-0	Torneo Federal A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Kimberley Mar del Plata win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Alvarado win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 14, 2026	Kimberley Mar del Plata 2-2 Alvarado	Torneo Federal A
Apr 11, 2026	Alvarado 0-0 Kimberley Mar del Plata	Torneo Federal A

Last archived meeting: Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Alvarado on Jun 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kimberley Mar del Plata score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Alvarado score 1.3 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 21% probability of over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kimberley Mar del Plata	1.3	0.8	7	6/15	6/15
Alvarado	1.3	0.4	10	3/15	3/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kimberley Mar del Plata sit 3rd in Torneo Federal A (18 points from 12 matches) and Alvarado sit 2nd (20 points from 12 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Alvarado	12	5	5	2	13	6	20
3	Kimberley Mar del Plata	12	4	6	2	9	7	18
5	Alvarado	16	7	6	3	19	7	27
8	Kimberley Mar del Plata	16	6	8	2	15	9	26

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Alvarado?: The Footlab model makes Kimberley Mar del Plata the favourite at 38%, against 37% for a draw and 25% for Alvarado.
Where and when is Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Alvarado played?: Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Alvarado is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José Antonio Valle, in the Torneo Federal A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 21% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.