Where and when is Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Sarmiento de La Banda played?

Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Sarmiento de La Banda is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José María Paz, in the Torneo Federal A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 17% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Sarmiento de La Banda: prediction and stats

Torneo Federal AWinners Stage - 6Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio José María Paz, Chivilcoy, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Gimnasia Chivilcoy

Sarmiento de La Banda

The Footlab model makes Gimnasia Chivilcoy the favourite at 46%, against 37% for a draw and 17% for Sarmiento de La Banda. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Sarmiento de La Banda?

A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Gimnasia Chivilcoy (1,710) and Sarmiento de La Banda (1,722).

Gimnasia Chivilcoy win46 %

Draw37 %

Sarmiento de La Banda win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnasia Chivilcoy have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Sarmiento de La Banda have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gimnasia Chivilcoy
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Defensores de Belgrano VR(away)	1-0	Torneo Federal A
Aug 16, 2026	San Martin Formosa(home)	1-1	Torneo Federal A
Aug 12, 2026	9 de Julio Rafaela(away)	0-1	Torneo Federal A
Aug 1, 2026	Sportivo Belgrano(home)	0-0	Torneo Federal A
Jul 25, 2026	Defensores de Belgrano VR(away)	2-2	Torneo Federal A

Sarmiento de La Banda
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Sportivo Belgrano(home)	3-0	Torneo Federal A
Aug 16, 2026	Douglas Haig(away)	1-3	Torneo Federal A
Aug 13, 2026	Sol de América(home)	0-0	Torneo Federal A
Aug 8, 2026	Bartolomé Mitre(away)	1-1	Torneo Federal A
Jul 26, 2026	Tucuman Central(away)	1-1	Torneo Federal A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Sarmiento de La Banda win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2025	Gimnasia Chivilcoy 3-0 Sarmiento de La Banda	Torneo Federal A

Last archived meeting: Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Sarmiento de La Banda on Aug 24, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Gimnasia Chivilcoy score 0.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sarmiento de La Banda score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 17% probability of over 2.5 goals and 24% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gimnasia Chivilcoy	0.9	0.5	9	3/15	3/15
Sarmiento de La Banda	1.3	0.9	9	5/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gimnasia Chivilcoy sit 4th in Torneo Federal A (19 points from 13 matches) and Sarmiento de La Banda sit 4th (18 points from 12 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Sarmiento de La Banda	12	5	3	4	13	11	18
4	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	13	5	4	4	11	8	19
6	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	18	7	6	5	17	12	27
13	Sarmiento de La Banda	16	7	4	5	17	15	25

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Sarmiento de La Banda?: The Footlab model makes Gimnasia Chivilcoy the favourite at 46%, against 37% for a draw and 17% for Sarmiento de La Banda.
Where and when is Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Sarmiento de La Banda played?: Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Sarmiento de La Banda is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José María Paz, in the Torneo Federal A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 17% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.