Douglas Haig vs Sol de América: prediction and stats
Torneo Federal AWinners Stage - 6Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Miguel Morales, Pergamino, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Douglas Haig the favourite at 50%, against 31% for a draw and 19% for Sol de América. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Douglas Haig vs Sol de América?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Douglas Haig (1,719) and Sol de América (1,714).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Douglas Haig have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Sol de América have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bartolomé Mitre(away) | 3-0 | Torneo Federal A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sarmiento de La Banda(home) | 3-1 | Torneo Federal A |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Defensores de Belgrano VR(away) | 0-0 | Torneo Federal A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | San Martin Formosa(home) | 1-4 | Torneo Federal A |
| Aug 2, 2026 | 9 de Julio Rafaela(away) | 0-0 | Torneo Federal A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bartolomé Mitre(home) | 2-1 | Torneo Federal A |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Sarmiento de La Banda(away) | 0-0 | Torneo Federal A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Defensores de Belgrano VR(home) | 1-0 | Torneo Federal A |
| Aug 2, 2026 | San Martin Formosa(away) | 1-2 | Torneo Federal A |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sarmiento Resistencia(away) | 1-2 | Torneo Federal A |
How many goals should we expect?
Douglas Haig score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sol de América score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Douglas Haig | 0.9 | 1.0 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Sol de América | 1.3 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Douglas Haig sit 2nd in Torneo Federal A (23 points from 13 matches) and Sol de América sit 2nd (20 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Douglas Haig | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 23 |
| 2 | Douglas Haig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 15 | 31 |
| 2 | Sol de América | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 6 | 20 |
| 10 | Sol de América | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 14 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Douglas Haig vs Sol de América?
- The Footlab model makes Douglas Haig the favourite at 50%, against 31% for a draw and 19% for Sol de América.
- Where and when is Douglas Haig vs Sol de América played?
- Douglas Haig vs Sol de América is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Miguel Morales, in the Torneo Federal A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 30, 2026Villa MitrevsHuracan Las Heras
- Aug 30, 2026Sportivo BelgranovsBartolomé Mitre
- Aug 30, 2026Kimberley Mar del PlatavsAlvarado
- Aug 30, 2026Argentino Monte MaízvsJuventud Antoniana
- Aug 30, 20269 de Julio RafaelavsDefensores de Belgrano VR
- Aug 30, 2026AtenasvsOlimpo Bahia Blanca
- Aug 30, 2026Gimnasia ChivilcoyvsSarmiento de La Banda