Real Ávila vs Atlético Astorga: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Adolfo Suárez, Ávila
The Footlab AI model makes Real Ávila the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Atlético Astorga. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Ávila wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 3,118 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Ávila vs Atlético Astorga?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Real Ávila (1,893) and Atlético Astorga (1,886).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Ávila vs Atlético Astorga
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Ávila
4-4-2- 9D. Lorenzo
- 12Carlos Pérez
- 30M. Sarr
- 7Runy
- 16M. Ruiz
- 8Filipe Sissé
- 23G. L. Urbina
- 5C. Pascual
- 22F. Garrido Diaz
- 3Michael Ngaah
- 1O. Lopez
Atlético Astorga
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Astorga lineup.
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 05:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Ávila have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Atlético Astorga have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Numancia(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | SS Reyes(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Getafe II(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Calvo Sotelo(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Compostela(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ourense CF(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Amorebieta(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sestao River(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Real Ávila wins, 2 draws, 1 Atlético Astorga win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Real Ávila 2-4 Atlético Astorga | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Atlético Astorga 1-3 Real Ávila | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Real Ávila 2-1 Atlético Astorga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Atlético Astorga 0-1 Real Ávila | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Atlético Astorga 0-0 Real Ávila | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Real Ávila 3-3 Atlético Astorga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Real Ávila vs Atlético Astorga on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Ávila score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Astorga score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Ávila | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Atlético Astorga | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Real Ávila | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Real Ávila vs Atlético Astorga?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Ávila vs Atlético Astorga?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Ávila the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Atlético Astorga.
- Where and when is Real Ávila vs Atlético Astorga played?
- Real Ávila vs Atlético Astorga is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Adolfo Suárez, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.