Afan Lido vs llanelli AFC: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 27Kick-off on March 26, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Princess Margaret Way, Port Talbot / Porth Talbot, Neath Port Talbot
The Footlab model makes Afan Lido the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for llanelli AFC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Afan Lido vs llanelli AFC?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Afan Lido (1,496) and llanelli AFC (1,557).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Afan Lido have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; llanelli AFC have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Pontardawe Town(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Llantwit Major(home) | 5-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 2-5 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Swansea University(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Newport City(home) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 0-6 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Afan Lido win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 llanelli AFC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | llanelli AFC 1-1 Afan Lido | FAW Championship |
| Jan 10, 2025 | Afan Lido 0-1 llanelli AFC | FAW Championship |
| Jan 5, 2024 | llanelli AFC 3-2 Afan Lido | FAW Championship |
| Nov 17, 2023 | Afan Lido 0-3 llanelli AFC | FAW Championship |
| Mar 3, 2023 | Afan Lido 0-1 llanelli AFC | FAW Championship |
| Jul 29, 2022 | llanelli AFC 3-1 Afan Lido | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: llanelli AFC vs Afan Lido on Mar 28, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Afan Lido score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; llanelli AFC score 0.7 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afan Lido | 1.7 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| llanelli AFC | 0.7 | 2.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Afan Lido sit 8th in FAW Championship (6 points from 4 matches) and llanelli AFC sit 15th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Afan Lido | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
| 15 | llanelli AFC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Afan Lido vs llanelli AFC?
- The Footlab model makes Afan Lido the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for llanelli AFC.
- Where and when is Afan Lido vs llanelli AFC played?
- Afan Lido vs llanelli AFC is played on March 26, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Princess Margaret Way, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 27, 2027Carmarthen TownvsNewport City
- Mar 27, 2027Caerau (Ely)vsAberystwyth Town
- Mar 27, 2027Swansea UniversityvsBaglan Dragons
- Mar 27, 2027Cardiff DraconiansvsTreowen Stars
- Mar 27, 2027Pontardawe TownvsLlantwit Major
- Mar 27, 2027Ynyshir AlbionsvsCaerphilly Athletic
- Mar 27, 2027Trethomas BluebirdsvsPontypridd Town