Match

Afan Lido vs llanelli AFC: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 27Kick-off on March 26, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Princess Margaret Way, Port Talbot / Porth Talbot, Neath Port Talbot

Afan Lidollanelli AFC

The Footlab model makes Afan Lido the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for llanelli AFC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Afan Lido vs llanelli AFC?

A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Afan Lido (1,496) and llanelli AFC (1,557).

Afan Lido win43 %
Draw24 %
llanelli AFC win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Afan Lido have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; llanelli AFC have 1, 3 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Afan Lido
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Pontardawe Town(home)1-0FAW Championship
Aug 14, 2026Carmarthen Town(away)1-3FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026Llantwit Major(home)5-0FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026Aberystwyth Town(home)2-5FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026Cardiff Draconians(away)1-4FAW Championship
llanelli AFC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Cardiff Draconians(away)2-4FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026Swansea University(away)0-3FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026Trethomas Bluebirds(home)1-1FAW Championship
Jul 31, 2026Newport City(home)1-4FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026Haverfordwest County AFC(away)0-6Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Afan Lido win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 llanelli AFC win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 28, 2025llanelli AFC 1-1 Afan LidoFAW Championship
Jan 10, 2025Afan Lido 0-1 llanelli AFCFAW Championship
Jan 5, 2024llanelli AFC 3-2 Afan LidoFAW Championship
Nov 17, 2023Afan Lido 0-3 llanelli AFCFAW Championship
Mar 3, 2023Afan Lido 0-1 llanelli AFCFAW Championship
Jul 29, 2022llanelli AFC 3-1 Afan LidoFAW Championship

Last archived meeting: llanelli AFC vs Afan Lido on Mar 28, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Afan Lido score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; llanelli AFC score 0.7 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Afan Lido1.71.757/159/15
llanelli AFC0.72.718/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Afan Lido sit 8th in FAW Championship (6 points from 4 matches) and llanelli AFC sit 15th (1 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Afan Lido4202986
15llanelli AFC40134121

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Afan Lido vs llanelli AFC?
The Footlab model makes Afan Lido the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for llanelli AFC.
Where and when is Afan Lido vs llanelli AFC played?
Afan Lido vs llanelli AFC is played on March 26, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Princess Margaret Way, in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Afan Lido and llanelli AFC

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