AC Milan vs Sunderland: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 6Kick-off on December 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
The Footlab AI model makes AC Milan the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Sunderland. The most likely score is 1-1. If AC Milan wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AC Milan vs Sunderland?
On Elo ratings, AC Milan has 2,192 points and Sunderland 2,112.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AC Milan vs Sunderland
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AC Milan
3-4-2-1- 9Gonçalo Ramos
- 12A. Rabiot
- 70A. Cissè
- 21S. Chukwueze
- 30A. Jashari
- 33D. Bartesaghi
- 20O. Hutchinson
- 31S. Pavlović
- 5K. De Winter
- 34Mario Gila
- 16M. Maignan
Sunderland
4-2-3-1- 57Timur Tuterov
- 27N. Sadiki
- 11C. Rigg
- 10N. Angulo
- 34G. Xhaka
- 28E. Le Fée
- 32T. Hume
- 15O. Alderete
- 20N. Mukiele
- 4K. Danso
- 22R. Roefs
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 11:39 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AC Milan have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Sunderland have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atalanta(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(away) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sassuolo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lecce(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Benfica(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Torreense(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brighton(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 3-5 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
How many goals should we expect?
AC Milan score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sunderland score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Sunderland | 1.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AC Milan sit 16th in UEFA Europa League (3 points from 2 matches) and Sunderland sit 9th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sunderland | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 16 | AC Milan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
A question about AC Milan vs Sunderland?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AC Milan vs Sunderland?
- The Footlab AI model makes AC Milan the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Sunderland.
- Where and when is AC Milan vs Sunderland played?
- AC Milan vs Sunderland is played on December 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.