Match

Rochdale vs Port Vale: prediction and stats

League TwoRegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Crown Oil Arena, Rochdale, Greater Manchester

RochdalePort Vale

The Footlab AI model makes Rochdale the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Port Vale. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rochdale wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,846 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Rochdale vs Port Vale?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Rochdale (1,883) and Port Vale (1,834).

43%28%29%
Rochdale winDrawPort Vale win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Rochdale vs Port Vale

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Rochdale

4-2-3-1
  1. 39D. Brown
  1. 17B. Adeeko
  2. 8H. Gilmour
  3. 45G. Middleton
  4. 21Kane Taylor
  5. 7C. Hayes
  1. 3Kaiden Wilson
  2. 2C. Tasker
  3. 44A. Flint
  4. 13O. Adebayo-Rowling
  1. 20Sam William John Waller

Port Vale

3-5-2
  1. 11O. Hernández
  2. 36M. Watters
  1. 6J. Lawrence-Gabriel
  2. 10K. Dempsey
  3. 3J. Headley
  4. 8B. Garrity
  5. 33G. Hall
  1. 5C. Hall
  2. 25C. Humphreys
  3. 4J. Moon
  1. 20M. Maroši

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 04:19 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rochdale have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Port Vale have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Rochdale
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Crewe(away)2-3League Two
Oct 10, 2026Tranmere(away)1-1League Two
Oct 6, 2026Huddersfield(away)0-5EFL Trophy
Oct 3, 2026Swindon Town(home)1-0League Two
Sep 26, 2026Fleetwood Town(away)2-1League Two
Port Vale
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Chesterfield(home)1-0League Two
Oct 10, 2026Grimsby(home)1-0League Two
Oct 6, 2026Mansfield Town(home)2-0EFL Trophy
Sep 22, 2026Chesterfield(away)1-1EFL Trophy
Sep 19, 2026Walsall(away)0-2League Two

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Rochdale wins, 1 draw, 3 Port Vale wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 23, 2022Rochdale 2-3 Port ValeFriendlies Clubs
Feb 22, 2022Rochdale 1-1 Port ValeLeague Two
Oct 5, 2021Port Vale 1-0 RochdaleEFL Trophy
Sep 4, 2021Port Vale 2-3 RochdaleLeague Two
Aug 29, 2020Port Vale 2-1 RochdaleFriendlies Clubs
Apr 4, 2017Rochdale 3-0 Port ValeLeague One

Last archived meeting: Rochdale vs Port Vale on Jul 23, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Rochdale score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Port Vale score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Rochdale1.21.847/159/15
Port Vale0.90.974/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Rochdale sit 13th in League Two (14 points from 11 matches) and Port Vale sit 21st (11 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Rochdale11425131514
21Port Vale93245911

A question about Rochdale vs Port Vale?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Rochdale vs Port Vale?
The Footlab AI model makes Rochdale the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Port Vale.
Where and when is Rochdale vs Port Vale played?
Rochdale vs Port Vale is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Crown Oil Arena, in the League Two.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Rochdale and Port Vale

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