Cheltenham vs Accrington ST: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 44Kick-off on April 27, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Completely-Suzuki Stadium, Cheltenham, Gloucestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Cheltenham the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Accrington ST. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cheltenham wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,797 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cheltenham vs Accrington ST?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Cheltenham (1,723) and Accrington ST (1,750).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cheltenham vs Accrington ST
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cheltenham
4-2-3-1- 18A. Weimann
- 26J. Shipley
- 19J. Evans
- 8C. McCann
- 33F. Willcox
- 7B. Stevenson
- 25P. Sweeney
- 6J. Wilson
- 17S. McWilliams
- 3J. Tomkinson
- 23W. Stanway
Accrington ST
3-4-1-2- 23T. Walton
- 30C. Warren
- 33D. Tutonda
- 38C. O'Brien
- 2D. Love
- 14Stefan Mols
- 39J. Woods
- 22J. Anderson
- 17D. Matthews
- 28S. Conneely
- 1L. Moulden
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 03:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cheltenham have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Accrington ST have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur U21(home) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Accrington ST(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cheltenham(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Swindon Town(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cheltenham wins, 2 draws, 2 Accrington ST wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Accrington ST 2-0 Cheltenham | League Two |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Accrington ST 3-1 Cheltenham | League Two |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Cheltenham 1-0 Accrington ST | League Two |
| Jan 28, 2025 | Accrington ST 0-0 Cheltenham | League Two |
| Oct 1, 2024 | Cheltenham 2-1 Accrington ST | League Two |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Cheltenham 0-0 Accrington ST | League One |
Last archived meeting: Accrington ST vs Cheltenham on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cheltenham score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Accrington ST score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham | 1.5 | 1.9 | 0 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Accrington ST | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cheltenham sit 8th in League Two (15 points from 11 matches) and Accrington ST sit 10th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cheltenham | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | 15 |
| 10 | Accrington ST | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 14 |
A question about Cheltenham vs Accrington ST?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cheltenham vs Accrington ST?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cheltenham the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Accrington ST.
- Where and when is Cheltenham vs Accrington ST played?
- Cheltenham vs Accrington ST is played on April 27, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Completely-Suzuki Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.