ACV vs Westlandia: prediction and stats
KNVB Beker1st Preliminary RoundKick-off on September 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Catawiki Sportpark, Assen
The Footlab model makes ACV the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Westlandia. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ACV vs Westlandia?
ACV starts as the favourite with a 192-point Elo edge (1,809 vs 1,617).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ACV have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Westlandia have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hollandia(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | TEC(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Ijsselmeervogels(away) | 4-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(home) | 1-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | Quick Boys(home) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2025 | FC Lisse(away) | 0-1 | KNVB Beker |
| Aug 5, 2025 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 1, 2024 | Achilles Veen(away) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| May 29, 2024 | Achilles Veen(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| Sep 19, 2023 | RKAV Volendam(away) | 0-3 | KNVB Beker |
How many goals should we expect?
ACV score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Westlandia score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACV | 1.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Westlandia | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ACV vs Westlandia?
- The Footlab model makes ACV the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Westlandia.
- Where and when is ACV vs Westlandia played?
- ACV vs Westlandia is played on September 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Catawiki Sportpark, in the KNVB Beker.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.