African Stars vs Mangasport: prediction and stats
CAF Champions LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Botswana National Stadium, Gaborone
The Footlab model makes African Stars the favourite at 36%, against 33% for a draw and 31% for Mangasport. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win African Stars vs Mangasport?
Mangasport starts as the favourite with a 191-point Elo edge (1,745 vs 1,554).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, African Stars have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Mangasport have 13, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Vipers(away) | 0-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Vipers(home) | 0-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Galaxy(away) | 0-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Galaxy(home) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Power Dynamos(away) | 0-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Lozo(home) | 2-1 | Championnat D1 |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Ogooue FC(away) | 1-2 | Championnat D1 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Bouenguidi(home) | 3-2 | Championnat D1 |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Pélican(away) | 2-1 | Championnat D1 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Bitam(home) | 1-2 | Championnat D1 |
How many goals should we expect?
African Stars score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mangasport score 2.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| African Stars | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Mangasport | 2.3 | 0.8 | 8 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for African Stars vs Mangasport?
- The Footlab model makes African Stars the favourite at 36%, against 33% for a draw and 31% for Mangasport.
- Where and when is African Stars vs Mangasport played?
- African Stars vs Mangasport is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Botswana National Stadium, in the CAF Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.