Where and when is Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar played?

Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar is played on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Departamental Libertad, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 15Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Departamental Libertad, San Juan de Pasto

Deportivo Pasto

Alianza Valledupar

The Footlab model makes Deportivo Pasto the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for Alianza Valledupar. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Deportivo Pasto (1,662) and Alianza Valledupar (1,646).

Deportivo Pasto win49 %

Draw29 %

Alianza Valledupar win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Pasto have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Alianza Valledupar have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Deportivo Pasto
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Llaneros(home)	0-1	Primera A
Aug 9, 2026	Deportivo Cali(home)	0-2	Primera A
Aug 5, 2026	Millonarios(away)	0-2	Primera A
Aug 1, 2026	Águilas Doradas(home)	1-2	Primera A
Jul 29, 2026	Bogota FC(away)	3-0	Copa Colombia

Alianza Valledupar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Cucuta(away)	0-1	Primera A
Aug 22, 2026	Deportivo Pereira(home)	0-0	Primera A
Aug 9, 2026	Bucaramanga(home)	2-3	Primera A
Aug 1, 2026	Deportes Tolima(home)	1-2	Primera A
Jul 26, 2026	Fortaleza FC(home)	1-1	Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Deportivo Pasto win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Alianza Valledupar win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 1, 2026	Alianza Valledupar 0-0 Deportivo Pasto	Primera A
Oct 5, 2025	Deportivo Pasto 3-3 Alianza Valledupar	Primera A
Apr 15, 2025	Alianza Valledupar 1-0 Deportivo Pasto	Primera A
Sep 30, 2024	Deportivo Pasto 1-0 Alianza Valledupar	Primera A
Mar 15, 2024	Alianza Valledupar 1-1 Deportivo Pasto	Primera A
Jul 22, 2023	Deportivo Pasto 1-1 Alianza Valledupar	Primera A

Last archived meeting: Alianza Valledupar vs Deportivo Pasto on Apr 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Deportivo Pasto score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Alianza Valledupar score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Deportivo Pasto	1.0	1.6	3	6/15	7/15
Alianza Valledupar	1.1	1.1	4	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Deportivo Pasto sit 3rd in Primera A (34 points from 19 matches) and Alianza Valledupar sit 17th (17 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	10	4	5	29	25	34
7	Deportivo Pasto	21	10	4	7	29	28	34
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13	27	17
17	Alianza Valledupar	5	0	2	3	4	7	2
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13	27	17
19	Deportivo Pasto	5	0	0	5	3	10	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar?: The Footlab model makes Deportivo Pasto the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for Alianza Valledupar.
Where and when is Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar played?: Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar is played on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Departamental Libertad, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.