Internacional de Bogota vs Fortaleza FC: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 15Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá, D.C.
The Footlab model makes Internacional de Bogota the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Fortaleza FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Internacional de Bogota vs Fortaleza FC?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Internacional de Bogota (1,643) and Fortaleza FC (1,677).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Internacional de Bogota have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Fortaleza FC have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Deportivo Cali(away) | 2-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Cucuta(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportes Tolima(away) | 1-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Jaguares(home) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Internacional Palmira(away) | 2-1 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Atletico Nacional(home) | 1-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cucuta(home) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Llaneros(away) | 1-3 | Primera A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Deportivo Pereira(home) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Alianza Valledupar(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Internacional de Bogota win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Fortaleza FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Fortaleza FC 1-1 Internacional de Bogota | Primera A |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Internacional de Bogota 0-1 Fortaleza FC | Primera A |
| Sep 8, 2025 | Fortaleza FC 1-0 Internacional de Bogota | Primera A |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Internacional de Bogota 0-2 Fortaleza FC | Copa Colombia |
| May 10, 2025 | Fortaleza FC 4-0 Internacional de Bogota | Primera A |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Internacional de Bogota 1-1 Fortaleza FC | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Fortaleza FC vs Internacional de Bogota on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Internacional de Bogota score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Fortaleza FC score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional de Bogota | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Fortaleza FC | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Internacional de Bogota sit 8th in Primera A (28 points from 19 matches) and Fortaleza FC sit 15th (22 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 28 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 28 |
| 13 | Fortaleza FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 14 | Internacional de Bogota | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 27 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 27 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Internacional de Bogota vs Fortaleza FC?
- The Footlab model makes Internacional de Bogota the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Fortaleza FC.
- Where and when is Internacional de Bogota vs Fortaleza FC played?
- Internacional de Bogota vs Fortaleza FC is played on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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