Bucaramanga vs America de Cali: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 15Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Américo Montanini, Bucaramanga
The Footlab model makes Bucaramanga the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for America de Cali. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bucaramanga vs America de Cali?
America de Cali starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,849 vs 1,740).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bucaramanga have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; America de Cali have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportes Tolima(away) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Alianza Valledupar(away) | 3-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Cucuta(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Llaneros(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Millonarios(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Santa Fe(away) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Atletico Nacional(home) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Once Caldas(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chico(home) | 7-0 | Primera A |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Real Cartagena(away) | 1-1 | Copa Colombia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bucaramanga win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 America de Cali win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | America de Cali 2-0 Bucaramanga | Primera A |
| Mar 6, 2026 | America de Cali 2-1 Bucaramanga | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Sep 16, 2025 | America de Cali 0-0 Bucaramanga | Primera A |
| Sep 3, 2025 | America de Cali 2-0 Bucaramanga | Copa Colombia |
| Aug 27, 2025 | Bucaramanga 1-0 America de Cali | Copa Colombia |
| Feb 3, 2025 | Bucaramanga 0-4 America de Cali | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: America de Cali vs Bucaramanga on Apr 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bucaramanga score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; America de Cali score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucaramanga | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| America de Cali | 1.3 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bucaramanga sit 13th in Primera A (23 points from 19 matches) and America de Cali sit 4th (33 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 13 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 33 |
| 5 | Bucaramanga | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | America de Cali | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 20 | 34 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 23 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bucaramanga vs America de Cali?
- The Footlab model makes Bucaramanga the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for America de Cali.
- Where and when is Bucaramanga vs America de Cali played?
- Bucaramanga vs America de Cali is played on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Américo Montanini, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 18, 2026MillonariosvsJaguares
- Oct 18, 2026Deportivo PastovsAlianza Valledupar
- Oct 18, 2026Deportivo CalivsJunior
- Oct 18, 2026Independiente MedellinvsOnce Caldas
- Oct 18, 2026Internacional de BogotavsFortaleza FC
- Oct 18, 2026Águilas DoradasvsDeportes Tolima
- Oct 18, 2026Deportivo PereiravsChico
- Oct 18, 2026LlanerosvsSanta Fe