Where and when is Millonarios vs Jaguares played?

Millonarios vs Jaguares is played on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Millonarios vs Jaguares: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 15Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, Bogotá, D.C.

Millonarios

Jaguares

The Footlab model makes Millonarios the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for Jaguares. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Millonarios vs Jaguares?

Millonarios starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (1,815 vs 1,634).

Millonarios win66 %

Draw22 %

Jaguares win12 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Millonarios have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Jaguares have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Millonarios
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Águilas Doradas(away)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 5, 2026	Deportivo Pasto(home)	2-0	Primera A
Aug 2, 2026	Junior(away)	1-0	Primera A
Jul 25, 2026	Bucaramanga(home)	0-1	Primera A
Jul 18, 2026	Colo Colo(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

Jaguares
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Chico(home)	1-0	Primera A
Aug 9, 2026	Once Caldas(home)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 5, 2026	Internacional de Bogota(away)	0-1	Primera A
Aug 2, 2026	Atletico Nacional(home)	0-3	Primera A
Jul 25, 2026	Deportivo Cali(away)	0-2	Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Millonarios win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Jaguares win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 2, 2026	Jaguares 1-0 Millonarios	Primera A
Sep 26, 2024	Millonarios 0-0 Jaguares	Primera A
Mar 11, 2024	Jaguares 2-1 Millonarios	Primera A
Aug 13, 2023	Jaguares 2-0 Millonarios	Primera A
Feb 19, 2023	Millonarios 2-1 Jaguares	Primera A
Aug 21, 2022	Millonarios 2-0 Jaguares	Primera A

Last archived meeting: Jaguares vs Millonarios on Apr 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Millonarios score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Jaguares score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Millonarios	1.9	1.0	5	8/15	6/15
Jaguares	1.0	1.3	5	6/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Millonarios sit 10th in Primera A (26 points from 19 matches) and Jaguares sit 16th (18 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Millonarios	4	2	1	1	4	2	7
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31	23	26
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31	23	26
15	Jaguares	5	1	1	3	2	7	4
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	20	33	18
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	20	33	18

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Millonarios vs Jaguares?: The Footlab model makes Millonarios the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for Jaguares.
Where and when is Millonarios vs Jaguares played?: Millonarios vs Jaguares is played on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.