Match

Llaneros vs Santa Fe: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 15Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Bello Horizonte - Rey Pelé, Villavicencio

LlanerosSanta Fe

The Footlab model makes Santa Fe the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Llaneros. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Llaneros vs Santa Fe?

Santa Fe starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,854 vs 1,720).

Llaneros win34 %
Draw30 %
Santa Fe win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llaneros have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Santa Fe have 7, 7 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Llaneros
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Deportivo Pasto(away)1-0Primera A
Aug 19, 2026Águilas Doradas(away)1-1Primera A
Aug 4, 2026Fortaleza FC(home)3-1Primera A
Jul 31, 2026Bucaramanga(away)1-1Primera A
Jul 24, 2026Deportivo Pereira(home)1-0Primera A
Santa Fe
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026America de Cali(home)0-0Primera A
Aug 20, 2026River Plate(home)0-0CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Aug 8, 2026Chico(home)2-0Primera A
Aug 6, 2026Union Magdalena(home)2-0Copa Colombia
Aug 3, 2026Once Caldas(home)2-2Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Llaneros win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Santa Fe win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 1, 2026Santa Fe 0-1 LlanerosPrimera A
Oct 12, 2025Santa Fe 1-3 LlanerosPrimera A
May 1, 2025Llaneros 0-1 Santa FePrimera A

Last archived meeting: Santa Fe vs Llaneros on Apr 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Llaneros score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Fe score 1.5 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Llaneros1.10.866/154/15
Santa Fe1.50.596/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Llaneros sit 14th in Primera A (22 points from 19 matches) and Santa Fe sit 7th (29 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Llaneros53207311
4Santa Fe238114352435
7Santa Fe19784292229
11Santa Fe4121545
14Llaneros194105172022
14Llaneros194105172022

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Llaneros vs Santa Fe?
The Footlab model makes Santa Fe the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Llaneros.
Where and when is Llaneros vs Santa Fe played?
Llaneros vs Santa Fe is played on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Bello Horizonte - Rey Pelé, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Llaneros and Santa Fe

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