Llaneros vs Chico: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 19Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Bello Horizonte - Rey Pelé, Villavicencio
The Footlab model makes Llaneros the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Chico. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Llaneros vs Chico?
Llaneros starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,720 vs 1,582).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llaneros have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Chico have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Águilas Doradas(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Fortaleza FC(home) | 3-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bucaramanga(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Deportivo Pereira(home) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Jaguares(away) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Santa Fe(away) | 0-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 2, 2026 | America de Cali(away) | 0-7 | Primera A |
| May 27, 2026 | Llaneros(home) | 0-1 | Copa Colombia |
| May 23, 2026 | Millonarios(away) | 2-2 | Copa Colombia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Llaneros win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Chico win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2026 | Chico 0-1 Llaneros | Copa Colombia |
| May 2, 2026 | Chico 3-0 Llaneros | Primera A |
| Jul 23, 2025 | Llaneros 2-1 Chico | Primera A |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Chico 2-2 Llaneros | Primera A |
| Nov 2, 2022 | Chico 3-0 Llaneros | Primera B |
| Oct 18, 2022 | Llaneros 1-0 Chico | Primera B |
How many goals should we expect?
Llaneros score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Chico score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llaneros | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Chico | 0.8 | 1.7 | 5 | 2/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Llaneros sit 14th in Primera A (22 points from 19 matches) and Chico sit 18th (17 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Llaneros | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 20 | 22 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 20 | 22 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 17 |
| 20 | Chico | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Llaneros vs Chico?
- The Footlab model makes Llaneros the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Chico.
- Where and when is Llaneros vs Chico played?
- Llaneros vs Chico is played on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Bello Horizonte - Rey Pelé, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 8, 2026MillonariosvsAlianza Valledupar
- Nov 8, 2026Deportivo PastovsJunior
- Nov 8, 2026Deportivo CalivsDeportes Tolima
- Nov 8, 2026BucaramangavsFortaleza FC
- Nov 8, 2026Internacional de BogotavsSanta Fe
- Nov 8, 2026Atletico NacionalvsOnce Caldas
- Nov 8, 2026Águilas DoradasvsIndependiente Medellin
- Nov 8, 2026Deportivo PereiravsAmerica de Cali