Match

Cucuta vs Jaguares: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 19Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio General Santander, Cúcuta

CucutaJaguares

The Footlab model makes Cucuta the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Jaguares. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cucuta vs Jaguares?

A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Cucuta (1,637) and Jaguares (1,634).

Cucuta win52 %
Draw26 %
Jaguares win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cucuta have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Jaguares have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cucuta
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Independiente Medellin(away)1-0Primera A
Aug 19, 2026Internacional de Bogota(home)1-1Primera A
Aug 8, 2026Fortaleza FC(away)0-2Primera A
Aug 4, 2026Bucaramanga(away)1-1Primera A
Jul 27, 2026Once Caldas(away)1-5Primera A
Jaguares
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Chico(home)1-0Primera A
Aug 9, 2026Once Caldas(home)1-1Primera A
Aug 5, 2026Internacional de Bogota(away)0-1Primera A
Aug 2, 2026Atletico Nacional(home)0-3Primera A
Jul 25, 2026Deportivo Cali(away)0-2Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cucuta win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Jaguares win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 2, 2026Jaguares 2-0 CucutaPrimera A
Nov 15, 2025Jaguares 1-2 CucutaPrimera B
Nov 11, 2025Cucuta 2-2 JaguaresPrimera B
Sep 21, 2025Cucuta 1-2 JaguaresPrimera B
May 1, 2025Jaguares 1-2 CucutaPrimera B
Mar 10, 2020Jaguares 0-3 CucutaPrimera A

Last archived meeting: Jaguares vs Cucuta on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cucuta score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Jaguares score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cucuta0.71.366/153/15
Jaguares1.01.356/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cucuta sit 19th in Primera A (16 points from 19 matches) and Jaguares sit 16th (18 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Cucuta5122495
15Jaguares5113274
16Jaguares195311203318
16Jaguares195311203318
19Cucuta19379223516
19Cucuta19379223516

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cucuta vs Jaguares?
The Footlab model makes Cucuta the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Jaguares.
Where and when is Cucuta vs Jaguares played?
Cucuta vs Jaguares is played on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio General Santander, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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