Match

Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 19Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, Bogotá, D.C.

MillonariosAlianza Valledupar

The Footlab AI model makes Millonarios the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Alianza Valledupar. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,810 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar?

Millonarios starts as the favourite with a 176-point Elo edge (1,808 vs 1,633).

72%18%10%
Millonarios winDrawAlianza Valledupar win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Millonarios

4-4-2
  1. 23L. Castro
  2. 11A. Estupiñán
  1. 7J. Cuadrado
  2. 10D. Ruiz
  3. 28S. Vega
  4. 18R. Ureña
  1. 4S. Barreiro
  2. 6S. Mosquera
  3. 22Sebastián Valencia Isaza
  4. 3M. Diaz Samuel
  1. 1J. Burrai

Alianza Valledupar

4-2-3-1
  1. 18C. Vergara
  1. 8J. Muñoz
  2. 7J. Castillo
  3. 10D. Quiñónes
  4. 55W. Fernández
  5. 6E. Meza
  1. 23I. Alba
  2. 22J. Figueroa
  3. 32J. Viveros
  4. 33J. Lasso
  1. 40E. Esteban

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 07:25 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Millonarios have 6 wins, 8 draws and 1 defeat; Alianza Valledupar have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Millonarios
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Jaguares(home)4-1Primera A
Oct 9, 2026Fortaleza FC(away)1-1Primera A
Oct 3, 2026Barranquilla(away)1-1Copa Colombia
Sep 30, 2026Independiente Medellin(away)2-2Primera A
Sep 25, 2026Atletico Nacional(away)1-1Primera A
Alianza Valledupar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026Águilas Doradas(home)2-2Primera A
Oct 3, 2026Deportivo Cali(away)1-3Primera A
Sep 27, 2026Jaguares(away)2-1Primera A
Sep 19, 2026Santa Fe(home)1-4Primera A
Sep 16, 2026Chico(away)2-1Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Millonarios wins, 2 draws, 2 Alianza Valledupar wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Alianza Valledupar 2-2 MillonariosPrimera A
Sep 13, 2025Alianza Valledupar 3-0 MillonariosPrimera A
Mar 30, 2025Millonarios 2-0 Alianza ValleduparPrimera A
Jul 28, 2024Alianza Valledupar 2-1 MillonariosPrimera A
Jan 31, 2024Millonarios 1-1 Alianza ValleduparPrimera A
Oct 6, 2023Alianza Valledupar 1-2 MillonariosCopa Colombia

Last archived meeting: Alianza Valledupar vs Millonarios on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Millonarios score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Alianza Valledupar score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Millonarios1.60.9510/155/15
Alianza Valledupar1.11.9210/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Millonarios sit 4th in Primera A (25 points from 15 matches) and Alianza Valledupar sit 15th (12 points from 13 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Millonarios15672231325
15Alianza Valledupar13337142612

A question about Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar?
The Footlab AI model makes Millonarios the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Alianza Valledupar.
Where and when is Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar played?
Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar is played on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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