Where and when is Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar played?

Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar is played on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 19Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, Bogotá, D.C.

Millonarios

Alianza Valledupar

The Footlab model makes Millonarios the favourite at 63%, against 24% for a draw and 13% for Alianza Valledupar. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar?

Millonarios starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (1,815 vs 1,659).

Millonarios win63 %

Draw24 %

Alianza Valledupar win13 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Millonarios have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Alianza Valledupar have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Millonarios
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Águilas Doradas(away)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 5, 2026	Deportivo Pasto(home)	2-0	Primera A
Aug 2, 2026	Junior(away)	1-0	Primera A
Jul 25, 2026	Bucaramanga(home)	0-1	Primera A
Jul 18, 2026	Colo Colo(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

Alianza Valledupar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Deportivo Pereira(home)	0-0	Primera A
Aug 9, 2026	Bucaramanga(home)	2-3	Primera A
Aug 1, 2026	Deportes Tolima(home)	1-2	Primera A
Jul 26, 2026	Fortaleza FC(home)	1-1	Primera A
May 24, 2026	Bucaramanga(home)	2-1	Copa Colombia

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Millonarios win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Alianza Valledupar win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Alianza Valledupar 2-2 Millonarios	Primera A
Sep 13, 2025	Alianza Valledupar 3-0 Millonarios	Primera A
Mar 30, 2025	Millonarios 2-0 Alianza Valledupar	Primera A
Jul 28, 2024	Alianza Valledupar 2-1 Millonarios	Primera A
Jan 31, 2024	Millonarios 1-1 Alianza Valledupar	Primera A
Oct 6, 2023	Alianza Valledupar 1-2 Millonarios	Copa Colombia

Last archived meeting: Alianza Valledupar vs Millonarios on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Millonarios score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Alianza Valledupar score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Millonarios	1.9	1.0	5	8/15	6/15
Alianza Valledupar	1.1	1.1	4	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Millonarios sit 10th in Primera A (26 points from 19 matches) and Alianza Valledupar sit 17th (17 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Millonarios	4	2	1	1	4	2	7
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31	23	26
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31	23	26
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13	27	17
17	Alianza Valledupar	4	0	2	2	4	6	2
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13	27	17

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar?: The Footlab model makes Millonarios the favourite at 63%, against 24% for a draw and 13% for Alianza Valledupar.
Where and when is Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar played?: Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar is played on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.