Internacional de Bogota vs Santa Fe: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 19Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá, D.C.
The Footlab model makes Internacional de Bogota the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Santa Fe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Internacional de Bogota vs Santa Fe?
Santa Fe starts as the favourite with a 206-point Elo edge (1,854 vs 1,648).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Internacional de Bogota have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Santa Fe have 7, 7 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Deportivo Cali(away) | 2-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Cucuta(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportes Tolima(away) | 1-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Jaguares(home) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Internacional Palmira(away) | 2-1 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | America de Cali(home) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 20, 2026 | River Plate(home) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chico(home) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Union Magdalena(home) | 2-0 | Copa Colombia |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Once Caldas(home) | 2-2 | Primera A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Internacional de Bogota win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Santa Fe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Santa Fe 3-1 Internacional de Bogota | Primera A |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Santa Fe 3-0 Internacional de Bogota | Primera A |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Internacional de Bogota 2-1 Santa Fe | Primera A |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Santa Fe 0-1 Internacional de Bogota | Primera A |
| May 26, 2024 | Santa Fe 2-0 Internacional de Bogota | Primera A |
| May 12, 2024 | Internacional de Bogota 0-2 Santa Fe | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Santa Fe vs Internacional de Bogota on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Internacional de Bogota score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Fe score 1.5 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional de Bogota | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Santa Fe | 1.5 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Internacional de Bogota sit 8th in Primera A (28 points from 19 matches) and Santa Fe sit 7th (29 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Santa Fe | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 35 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 28 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 28 |
| 11 | Santa Fe | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Internacional de Bogota vs Santa Fe?
- The Footlab model makes Internacional de Bogota the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Santa Fe.
- Where and when is Internacional de Bogota vs Santa Fe played?
- Internacional de Bogota vs Santa Fe is played on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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