Where and when is Deportivo Pasto vs Junior played?

Deportivo Pasto vs Junior is played on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Departamental Libertad, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Deportivo Pasto vs Junior: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 19Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Departamental Libertad, San Juan de Pasto

Deportivo Pasto

Junior

The Footlab model makes Deportivo Pasto the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Junior. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Deportivo Pasto vs Junior?

Junior starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,787 vs 1,666).

Deportivo Pasto win40 %

Draw29 %

Junior win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Pasto have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Junior have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Deportivo Pasto
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Llaneros(home)	0-1	Primera A
Aug 9, 2026	Deportivo Cali(home)	0-2	Primera A
Aug 5, 2026	Millonarios(away)	0-2	Primera A
Aug 1, 2026	Águilas Doradas(home)	1-2	Primera A
Jul 29, 2026	Bogota FC(away)	3-0	Copa Colombia

Junior
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Once Caldas(home)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 2, 2026	Millonarios(home)	0-1	Primera A
Jul 29, 2026	Barranquilla(away)	3-3	Copa Colombia
Jul 26, 2026	Deportes Tolima(away)	1-2	Primera A
Jul 23, 2026	Barranquilla(home)	2-2	Copa Colombia

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Deportivo Pasto win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Junior win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Junior 4-3 Deportivo Pasto	Primera A
Sep 29, 2025	Junior 2-0 Deportivo Pasto	Primera A
Apr 12, 2025	Deportivo Pasto 3-3 Junior	Primera A
Aug 29, 2024	Deportivo Pasto 1-0 Junior	Primera A
Feb 8, 2024	Junior 2-0 Deportivo Pasto	Primera A
Aug 13, 2023	Junior 0-0 Deportivo Pasto	Primera A

Last archived meeting: Junior vs Deportivo Pasto on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Deportivo Pasto score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Junior score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Deportivo Pasto	1.0	1.6	3	6/15	7/15
Junior	1.5	1.5	3	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Deportivo Pasto sit 3rd in Primera A (34 points from 19 matches) and Junior sit 2nd (35 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Junior	19	11	2	6	31	24	35
2	Junior	25	13	5	7	38	28	44
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	10	4	5	29	25	34
7	Deportivo Pasto	21	10	4	7	29	28	34
18	Junior	3	0	1	2	2	4	1
19	Deportivo Pasto	5	0	0	5	3	10	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Deportivo Pasto vs Junior?: The Footlab model makes Deportivo Pasto the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Junior.
Where and when is Deportivo Pasto vs Junior played?: Deportivo Pasto vs Junior is played on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Departamental Libertad, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.