Where and when is Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza FC played?

Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza FC is played on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Américo Montanini, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza FC: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 19Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Américo Montanini, Bucaramanga

Bucaramanga

Fortaleza FC

The Footlab model makes Bucaramanga the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Fortaleza FC. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza FC?

A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Bucaramanga (1,735) and Fortaleza FC (1,677).

Bucaramanga win54 %

Draw27 %

Fortaleza FC win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bucaramanga have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Fortaleza FC have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bucaramanga
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Deportes Tolima(away)	0-0	Primera A
Aug 9, 2026	Alianza Valledupar(away)	3-2	Primera A
Aug 4, 2026	Cucuta(home)	1-1	Primera A
Jul 31, 2026	Llaneros(home)	1-1	Primera A
Jul 25, 2026	Millonarios(away)	1-0	Primera A

Fortaleza FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Atletico Nacional(home)	1-2	Primera A
Aug 8, 2026	Cucuta(home)	2-0	Primera A
Aug 4, 2026	Llaneros(away)	1-3	Primera A
Aug 1, 2026	Deportivo Pereira(home)	0-0	Primera A
Jul 26, 2026	Alianza Valledupar(away)	1-1	Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bucaramanga win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Fortaleza FC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Fortaleza FC 2-1 Bucaramanga	Primera A
Nov 30, 2025	Fortaleza FC 0-2 Bucaramanga	Primera A
Nov 26, 2025	Bucaramanga 1-2 Fortaleza FC	Primera A
Sep 27, 2025	Fortaleza FC 2-1 Bucaramanga	Primera A
Apr 14, 2025	Bucaramanga 4-0 Fortaleza FC	Primera A
Nov 10, 2024	Bucaramanga 1-0 Fortaleza FC	Primera A

Last archived meeting: Fortaleza FC vs Bucaramanga on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bucaramanga score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Fortaleza FC score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Bucaramanga	1.5	1.4	4	8/15	8/15
Fortaleza FC	1.2	1.1	4	9/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bucaramanga sit 13th in Primera A (23 points from 19 matches) and Fortaleza FC sit 15th (22 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Bucaramanga	5	2	3	0	6	4	9
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26	20	23
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26	20	23
13	Fortaleza FC	5	1	2	2	5	6	5
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22	27	22
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22	27	22

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza FC?: The Footlab model makes Bucaramanga the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Fortaleza FC.
Where and when is Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza FC played?: Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza FC is played on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Américo Montanini, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.