Where and when is Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares played?

Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares is played on October 4, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Alberto Grisales, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 13Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Alberto Grisales, Rionegro, Antioquia

Águilas Doradas

Jaguares

The Footlab model makes Águilas Doradas the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Jaguares. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares?

A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Águilas Doradas (1,732) and Jaguares (1,634).

Águilas Doradas win60 %

Draw24 %

Jaguares win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Águilas Doradas have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Jaguares have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Águilas Doradas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Millonarios(home)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 19, 2026	Llaneros(home)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 1, 2026	Deportivo Pasto(away)	2-1	Primera A
Jul 26, 2026	Santa Fe(home)	2-1	Primera A
May 26, 2026	Real Soacha(away)	2-2	Copa Colombia

Jaguares
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Chico(home)	1-0	Primera A
Aug 9, 2026	Once Caldas(home)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 5, 2026	Internacional de Bogota(away)	0-1	Primera A
Aug 2, 2026	Atletico Nacional(home)	0-3	Primera A
Jul 25, 2026	Deportivo Cali(away)	0-2	Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Águilas Doradas win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Jaguares win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Águilas Doradas 0-0 Jaguares	Copa Colombia
Mar 23, 2026	Jaguares 1-1 Águilas Doradas	Primera A
Aug 14, 2024	Águilas Doradas 1-0 Jaguares	Primera A
Feb 9, 2024	Jaguares 1-0 Águilas Doradas	Primera A
Nov 9, 2023	Jaguares 0-1 Águilas Doradas	Primera A
May 18, 2023	Águilas Doradas 3-0 Jaguares	Primera A

Last archived meeting: Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Águilas Doradas score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Jaguares score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Águilas Doradas	1.4	1.4	2	11/15	9/15
Jaguares	1.0	1.3	5	6/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Águilas Doradas sit 12th in Primera A (26 points from 19 matches) and Jaguares sit 16th (18 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Águilas Doradas	4	2	2	0	6	4	8
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20	25	26
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20	25	26
15	Jaguares	5	1	1	3	2	7	4
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	20	33	18
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	20	33	18

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares?: The Footlab model makes Águilas Doradas the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Jaguares.
Where and when is Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares played?: Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares is played on October 4, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Alberto Grisales, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.